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Related papers: Single Model for Influenza Forecasting of Multiple…

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Influenza-like illness (ILI) places a heavy social and economic burden on our society. Traditionally, ILI surveillance data is updated weekly and provided at a spatially coarse resolution. Producing timely and reliable high-resolution…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-02-13 Lijing Wang , Jiangzhuo Chen , Madhav Marathe

Influenza A is responsible for 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory deaths a year, though this estimate is an improvement from years past due to improvements in sanitation, healthcare practices, and vaccination programs. In this study, we perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Edmund F. Agyemang , Hansapani Rodrigo , Vincent Agbenyeavu

The estimation from available data of parameters governing epidemics is a major challenge. In addition to usual issues (data often incomplete and noisy), epidemics of the same nature may be observed in several places or over different…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Romain Narci , Maud Delattre , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data is important in many engineering and scientific applications. Recent state-of-the-art works ignore the inter-relations between variates, using their model on each variate independently.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Liran Nochumsohn , Hedi Zisling , Omri Azencot

Probabilistic forecasting of infectious diseases is crucial for public health but relies on labor-intensive manual model curation by expert modeling teams. This bespoke development bottlenecks scalability to granular geographic resolutions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Sarah Martinson , Michael P. Brenner , Martyna Plomecka , Brian P. Williams , Nicholas G. Reich , Zahra Shamsi

So far, Google Trend data have been used for influenza surveillance in many European and American countries; however, there are few attempts to apply the low-cost surveillance method in Asian developing countries. To investigate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-12-11 Xichuan Zhou , Qin Li , Han Zhao , Shengli Li , Lei Yu , Fang Tang , Shengdong Hu , Guojun Li , Yujie Feng

Seasonal influenza presents an ongoing challenge to public health. The rapid evolution of the flu virus necessitates annual vaccination campaigns, but the decision to get vaccinated or not in a given year is largely voluntary, at least in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-21 Irena Papst , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Steven H. Strogatz

Multi-Task Learning (MTL) models have shown their robustness, effectiveness, and efficiency for transferring learned knowledge across tasks. In real industrial applications such as web content classification, multiple classification tasks…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Jiaxin Huang , Tianqi Liu , Jialu Liu , Adam D. Lelkes , Cong Yu , Jiawei Han

Seasonal influenza causes on average 425,000 hospitalizations and 32,000 deaths per year in the United States. Forecasts of influenza-like illness (ILI) -- a surrogate for the proportion of patients infected with influenza -- support public…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Ningxi Wei , Xinze Zhou , Wei-Min Huang , Thomas McAndrew

Transfer and multi-task learning have traditionally focused on either a single source-target pair or very few, similar tasks. Ideally, the linguistic levels of morphology, syntax and semantics would benefit each other by being trained in a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Kazuma Hashimoto , Caiming Xiong , Yoshimasa Tsuruoka , Richard Socher

Multi-task learning (MTL) is a methodology that aims to improve the general performance of estimation and prediction by sharing common information among related tasks. In the MTL, there are several assumptions for the relationships and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Akira Okazaki , Shuichi Kawano

Statements on social media can be analysed to identify individuals who are experiencing red flag medical symptoms, allowing early detection of the spread of disease such as influenza. Since disease does not respect cultural borders and may…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Mattias Appelgren , Patrick Schrempf , Matúš Falis , Satoshi Ikeda , Alison Q O'Neil

Forecasting transmission of infectious diseases, especially for vector-borne diseases, poses unique challenges for researchers. Behaviors of and interactions between viruses, vectors, hosts, and the environment each play a part in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Stephen A Lauer , Alexandria C Brown , Nicholas G Reich

In this paper, the authors develop a method of detecting correlations between epidemic patterns in different regions that are due to human movement and introduce a null model in which the travel-induced correlations are cancelled. They…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-06-24 Pascal Crépey , Marc Barthélemy

Developing reliable workload predictive models can affect many aspects of clinical decision making procedure. The primary challenge in healthcare systems is handling the demand uncertainty over the time. This issue becomes more critical for…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Mohammad Hessam Olya , Dongxiao Zhu , Kai Yang

In this work we demonstrate how to automate parts of the infectious disease-control policy-making process via performing inference in existing epidemiological models. The kind of inference tasks undertaken include computing the posterior…

Epidemiological early warning systems for dengue fever rely on up-to-date epidemiological data to forecast future incidence. However, epidemiological data typically requires time to be available, due to the application of time-consuming…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-23 Julio Albinati , Wagner Meira , Gisele L. Pappa , Mauro Teixeira , Cecilia Marques-Toledo

Multi-task learning aims to learn multiple tasks jointly by exploiting their relatedness to improve the generalization performance for each task. Traditionally, to perform multi-task learning, one needs to centralize data from all the tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Sulin Liu , Sinno Jialin Pan , Qirong Ho

In recent years, multi-task learning has turned out to be of great success in various applications. Though single model training has promised great results throughout these years, it ignores valuable information that might help us estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Yeshwant Singh , Anupam Biswas , Angshuman Bora , Debashish Malakar , Subham Chakraborty , Suman Bera

The search engine based on influenza monitoring system has been widely applied in many European and American countries. However, there are not any correlative researches reported for African developing countries. Especially, the countries…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Shengli Li , Xichuan Zhou