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Let $X$ be a random variable that takes its values in $\frac{1}{q}\mathbb{Z}$, for some integer $q\ge2$, and consider $X$ rounded to an integer, either downwards or upwards or to the nearest integer. We give general formulas for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Svante Janson

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Benjamin Kompa , David R. Bellamy , Thomas Kolokotrones , James M. Robins , Andrew L. Beam

In mortality modelling, cohort effects are often taken into consideration as they add insights about variations in mortality across different generations. Statistically speaking, models such as the Renshaw-Haberman model may provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-01 Yiping Guo , Johnny Siu-Hang Li

This paper examines the foundational concept of random variables in probability theory and statistical inference, demonstrating that their mathematical definition requires no reference to randomization or hypothetical repeated sampling. We…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-02-11 Paul W. Vos

Randomized algorithms, such as randomized sketching or stochastic optimization, are a promising approach to ease the computational burden in analyzing large datasets. However, randomized algorithms also produce non-deterministic outputs,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Zhixiang Zhang , Sokbae Lee , Edgar Dobriban

We consider the problem of estimating the finite population mean $\bar{Y}$ of an outcome variable $Y$ using data from a nonprobability sample and auxiliary information from a probability sample. Existing double robust (DR) estimators of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Shaun Seaman

Classical probabilistic rounding error analysis is particularly well suited to stochastic rounding (SR), and it yields strong results when dealing with floating-point algorithms that rely heavily on summation. For many numerical linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-26 El-Mehdi El Arar , Massimiliano Fasi , Silviu-Ioan Filip , Mantas Mikaitis

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

Nonparametric estimation of the conditional expectation $E(Y | U)$ of an outcome $Y$ given a covariate vector $U$ is of primary importance in many statistical applications such as prediction and personalized medicine. In some problems,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 Bingying Xie , Jun Shao

To investigate whether treating cancer patients with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) would increase the mortality risk, Bennett et al. [Journal of the American Medical Association 299 (2008) 914--924] conducted a meta-analysis with…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-11 Rui Wang , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai , L. J. Wei

We show several ways to round a real matrix to an integer one such that the rounding errors in all rows and columns as well as the whole matrix are less than one. This is a classical problem with applications in many fields, in particular,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Benjamin Doerr , Tobias Friedrich , Christian Klein , Ralf Osbild

Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approx- imations of the optimal density leading to a nearly zero-variance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Virgile Caron

Deep neural networks, when optimized with sufficient data, provide accurate representations of high-dimensional functions; in contrast, function approximation techniques that have predominated in scientific computing do not scale well with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-15 Grant M. Rotskoff , Andrew R. Mitchell , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

The Current Population Survey is the gold-standard data source for studying who turns out to vote in elections. However, it suffers from potentially nonignorable unit and item nonresponse. Fortunately, after elections, the total number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jiurui Tang , D. Sunshine Hillygus , Jerome P. Reiter

The odds ratio measure is used in health and social surveys where the odds of a certain event is to be compared between two populations. It is defined using logistic regression, and requires that data from surveys are accompanied by their…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 C. Goga , A Ruiz-Gazen

In many data analyses, each measurement may come with a simple yes/no correction; for example, belonging to one of two populations or being contaminated or not. Ignoring such binary effects may bias the results, while accounting for them…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-13 Marcus Högås , Edvard Mörtsell

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

Ordinal measurements are common outcomes in studies within psychology, as well as in the social and behavioral sciences. Choosing an appropriate regression model for analysing such data poses a difficult task. This paper aims to facilitate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Stefan Inerle , Markus Pauly , Moritz Berger

We establish a general framework for statistical inferences with non-probability survey samples when relevant auxiliary information is available from a probability survey sample. We develop a rigorous procedure for estimating the propensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-17 Yilin Chen , Pengfei Li , Changbao Wu