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This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has been actively investigated and used in a wide range of problems in the past decade. A significant amount of attention has been given to develop NMF algorithms that are suitable to model time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-04 Nasser Mohammadiha , Paris Smaragdis , Ghazaleh Panahandeh , Simon Doclo

Predicting the behavior of a dynamical system from noisy observations of its past outputs is a classical problem encountered across engineering and science. For linear systems with Gaussian inputs, the Kalman filter -- the best linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Usman Akram , Haris Vikalo

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

Online estimation of electromechanical oscillation parameters provides essential information to prevent system instability and blackout and helps to identify event categories and locations. We formulate the problem as a state space model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Zhe Yu , Di Shi , Zhiwei Wang , Qibing Zhang , Junhui Huang , Sen Pan

Sufficiently accurate finite state models, also called symbolic models or discrete abstractions, allow one to apply fully automated methods, originally developed for purely discrete systems, to formally reason about continuous and hybrid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-03 Gunther Reißig

We propose a new robust filtering paradigm considering the situation in which model uncertainty, described through an ambiguity set, is present only in the observations. We derive the corresponding robust estimator, referred to as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Shenglun Yi , Mattia Zorzi

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete time-varying systems over sensor networks. Firstly, it is shown that a networked Kalman filter with optimal gain parameter is actually a centralized filter,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Xingkang He , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

This short note gives a new framework for dealing with nonlinear sampled-data systems. We introduce a new idea of lifting, which is well known for linear systems, but not successfully generalized to nonlinear systems. This paper introduces…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Yutaka Yamamoto , Kaoru Yamamoto

In this paper is proposed a novel incremental iterative Gauss-Newton-Markov-Kalman filter method for state estimation of dynamic models given noisy measurements. The mathematical formulation of the proposed filter is based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Bojana Rosic

Latent force models (LFMs) are flexible models that combine mechanistic modelling principles (i.e., physical models) with non-parametric data-driven components. Several key applications of LFMs need non-linearities, which results in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Jouni Hartikainen , Mari Seppanen , Simo Sarkka

Based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, Lange (2024) presents an approximate method for filtering, smoothing and parameter estimation for possibly non-linear and/or non-Gaussian state-space models. While the approach applies more…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Rutger-Jan Lange

Large-scale dynamic inverse problems are often ill-posed due to model complexity and the high dimensionality of the unknown parameters. Regularization is commonly employed to mitigate ill-posedness by incorporating prior information and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Aryeh Keating , Mirjeta Pasha

We consider optimal signalling and control of discrete-time nonlinear partially observable stochastic systems in state space form. In the first part of the paper, we characterize the operational {\it control-coding capacity}, $C_{FB}$ in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Charalambos D. Charalambous , Stelios Louka

Non-linear state estimation and some related topics, like parametric estimation, fault diagnosis, and perturbation attenuation, are tackled here via a new methodology in numerical differentiation. The corresponding basic system theoretic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-11-06 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Hebertt Sira-Ramirez

We propose an extended method for experiment design in nonlinear state space models. The proposed input design technique optimizes a scalar cost function of the information matrix, by computing the optimal stationary probability mass…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Patricio E. Valenzuela , Johan Dahlin , Cristian R. Rojas , Thomas B. Schön

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) learn compositional representations from network data by nesting linear graph convolutions into nonlinearities. In this work, we approach GCNNs from a state-space perspective revealing that the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-15 Luana Ruiz , Fernando Gama , Alejandro Ribeiro , Elvin Isufi

Nonlinear differential equations are encountered as models of fluid flow, spiking neurons, and many other systems of interest in the real world. Common features of these systems are that their behaviors are difficult to describe exactly and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Zexin Sun , Mingyu Chen , John Baillieul

We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard