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Time series forecasting, which predicts future values from past observations, plays a central role in many domains and has driven the development of highly accurate neural network models. However, the complexity of these models often limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hiroki Tomioka , Genta Yoshimura

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin

Time series visualization plays a crucial role in identifying patterns and extracting insights across various domains. However, as datasets continue to grow in size, visualizing them effectively becomes challenging. Downsampling, which…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Jonas Van Der Donckt , Jeroen Van Der Donckt , Michael Rademaker , Sofie Van Hoecke

Time series models, typically trained on numerical data, are designed to forecast future values. These models often rely on weighted averaging techniques over time intervals. However, real-world time series data is seldom isolated and is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Litton Jose Kurisinkel , Pruthwik Mishra , Yue Zhang

In the era of rapidly increasing amounts of time series data, classification of variable objects has become the main objective of time-domain astronomy. Classification of irregularly sampled time series is particularly difficult because the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-21 Sven Dennis Kügler , Nikos Gianniotis , Kai Lars Polsterer

Forecasts of various processes have always been a sophisticated problem for statistics and data science. Over the past decades the solution procedures were updated by deep learning and kernel methods. According to many specialists, these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Igor Mackarov

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-10 Bo Thiesson , David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

An important feature of all real-world networks is that the network structure changes over time. Due to this dynamic nature, it becomes difficult to propose suitable growth models that can explain the various important characteristic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-17 Sandipan Sikdar , Niloy Ganguly , Animesh Mukherjee

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Forecasting is an indispensable element of operational research (OR) and an important aid to planning. The accurate estimation of the forecast uncertainty facilitates several operations management activities, predominantly in supporting…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Event cameras are bio-inspired vision sensors that naturally capture the dynamics of a scene, filtering out redundant information. This paper presents a deep neural network approach that unlocks the potential of event cameras on a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Ana I. Maqueda , Antonio Loquercio , Guillermo Gallego , Narciso Garcia , Davide Scaramuzza

Many applications require the ability to judge uncertainty of time-series forecasts. Uncertainty is often specified as point-wise error bars around a mean or median forecast. Due to temporal dependencies, such a method obscures some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-14 Sriharsha Veeramachaneni

In this paper it is reconsidered the prediction problem in time series framework by using a new non-parametric approach. Through this reconsideration, the prediction is obtained by a weighted sum of past observed data. These weights are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Pedro Cadahía , Jose Manuel Bravo Caro

Forecasting future outcomes from recent time series data is not easy, especially when the future data are different from the past (i.e. time series are under temporal drifts). Existing approaches show limited performances under data drifts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Jaehoon Lee , Chan Kim , Gyumin Lee , Haksoo Lim , Jeongwhan Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Sanghyun Hong , Noseong Park

Learning complex time series forecasting models usually requires a large amount of data, as each model is trained from scratch for each task/data set. Leveraging learning experience with similar datasets is a well-established technique for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Lukas Brinkmeyer , Rafael Rego Drumond , Johannes Burchert , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

Active Search and Tracking for search and rescue missions or collaborative mobile robotics relies on the actuation of a sensing platform to detect and localize a target. In this paper we focus on visually detecting a radio-emitting target…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-13 L. Varotto , A. Cenedese , A. Cavallaro