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Learning-based methodologies increasingly find applications in safety-critical domains like autonomous driving and medical robotics. Due to the rare nature of dangerous events, real-world testing is prohibitively expensive and unscalable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Aman Sinha , Matthew O'Kelly , Russ Tedrake , John Duchi

Intelligent systems are increasingly integral to our daily lives, yet rare safety-critical events present significant latent threats to their practical deployment. Addressing this challenge hinges on accurately predicting the probability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Ruoxuan Bai , Jingxuan Yang , Weiduo Gong , Yi Zhang , Qiujing Lu , Shuo Feng

Evaluating the reliability of intelligent physical systems against rare safety-critical events poses a huge testing burden for real-world applications. Simulation provides a useful platform to evaluate the extremal risks of these systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Mansur Arief , Zhiyuan Huang , Guru Koushik Senthil Kumar , Yuanlu Bai , Shengyi He , Wenhao Ding , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Testing black-box perceptual-control systems in simulation faces two difficulties. Firstly, perceptual inputs in simulation lack the fidelity of real-world sensor inputs. Secondly, for a reasonably accurate perception system, encountering a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Craig Innes , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Testing is essential for verifying and validating control designs, especially in safety-critical applications. In particular, the control system governing an automated driving vehicle must be proven reliable enough for its acceptance on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-11 Mengjia Zhu , Alberto Bemporad , Maximilian Kneissl , Hasan Esen

Rare events are events that are expected to occur infrequently, or more technically, those that have low probabilities (say, order of $10^{-3}$ or less) of occurring according to a probability model. In the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

While recent developments in autonomous vehicle (AV) technology highlight substantial progress, we lack tools for rigorous and scalable testing. Real-world testing, the $\textit{de facto}$ evaluation environment, places the public in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Matthew O'Kelly , Aman Sinha , Hongseok Namkoong , John Duchi , Russ Tedrake

Rare-event simulation techniques, such as importance sampling (IS), constitute powerful tools to speed up challenging estimation of rare catastrophic events. These techniques often leverage the knowledge and analysis on underlying system…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-04 Mansur Arief , Yuanlu Bai , Wenhao Ding , Shengyi He , Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Battery management systems may rely on mathematical models to provide higher performance than standard charging protocols. Electrochemical models allow us to capture the phenomena occurring inside a lithium-ion cell and therefore, could be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Andrea Pozzi , Xiangzhong Xie , Davide M Raimondo , René Schenkendorf

A probabilistic performance-oriented control design optimization approach is introduced for flight systems. Aiming at estimating rare-event probabilities accurately and efficiently, subset simulation is combined with surrogate modeling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Florian Holzapfel

As control systems become increasingly more complex, there exists a pressing need to find systematic ways of verifying them. To address this concern, there has been significant work in developing test generation schemes for black-box…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Prithvi Akella , Ugo Rosolia , Andrew Singletary , Aaron D. Ames

In this paper, we employ a Bayesian approach to uncertainty quantification of computer simulations used to assess the probability of rare events. As a case study, we assess the reliability of an Earth reentry capsule for sample return…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-11 Dawn L. Sanderson , Amy Braverman , Giuseppe Cataldo , Ralph C. Smith , Richard L. Smith

In this work, we propose an algorithm to simulate rare events for electronic circuit design. Our approach heavily relies on a smart use of importance sampling, which enables us to tackle probabilities of the magnitude 10 --10. Not only can…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Xavier Jonsson , Jérôme Lelong

Software safety is a crucial aspect during the development of modern safety-critical systems. Software is becoming responsible for most of the critical functions of systems. Therefore, the software components in the systems need to be…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-12-12 Asim Abdulkhaleq , Stefan Wagner

Many safety-critical real-time systems operate under harsh environment and are subject to soft errors caused by transient or intermittent faults. It is critical and yet often very challenging to apply fault tolerance techniques in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-17 Hengyi Liang , Zhilu Wang , Ruochen Jiao , Qi Zhu

Mixed-criticality real-time scheduling has been developed to improve resource utilization while guaranteeing safe execution of critical applications. These studies use optimistic resource reservation for all the applications to improve…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Xiaozhe Gu , Arvind Easwaran , Kieu-My Phan , Insik Shin

This article focuses, in the context of epidemic models, on rare events that may possibly correspond to crisis situations from the perspective of Public Health. In general, no close analytic form for their occurrence probabilities is…

Applications · Statistics 2013-08-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Anthony Cousien , Miraine Dávila Felipe , Viet Chi Tran

Testing autonomous driving systems for safety and reliability is extremely complex. A primary challenge is identifying the relevant test scenarios, especially the critical ones that may expose hazards or risks of harm to autonomous vehicles…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Qunying Song , Emelie Engström , Per Runeson

Safety evaluation is an essential component of clinical trials. To protect study participants, these studies often implement safety stopping rules that will halt the trial if an excessive number of toxicity events occur. Existing safety…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Michael J. Martens , Qinghua Lian , Brent R. Logan

Most recent software related accidents have been system accidents. To validate the absence of system hazards concerning dysfunctional interactions, industrials call for approaches of modeling system safety requirements and interaction…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Zhe Chen , Gilles Motet
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