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For a large class of orthogonal basis functions, there has been a recent identification of expansion methods for computing accurate, stable approximations of a quantity of interest. This paper presents, within the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-13 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker

Human exposure induced by wireless communication systems increasingly draws the public attention. Here, an indoor down-link scenario is concerned and the exposure level is statistically analyzed. The electromagnetic field (EMF) emitted by a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-14 Zicheng Liu , Dominique Lesselier , Bruno Sudret , Joe Wiart

Global sensitivity analysis with variance-based measures suffers from several theoretical and practical limitations, since they focus only on the variance of the output and handle multivariate variables in a limited way. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Sébastien Da Veiga

High dimensional covariance estimation and graphical models is a contemporary topic in statistics and machine learning having widespread applications. An important line of research in this regard is to shrink the extreme spectrum of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-28 Sang-Yun Oh , Bala Rajaratnam , Joong-Ho Won

Motivated by risk assessment of coastal flooding, we consider time-consuming simulators with a spatial output. The aim is to perform sensitivity analysis (SA), quantifying the influence of input parameters on the output. There are three…

This work introduces a new method to efficiently solve optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain coefficients. The method leverages two sources of inexactness that trade accuracy for speed:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Matthew J. Zahr , Kevin T. Carlberg , Drew P. Kouri

As uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of complex models grows ever more important, the difficulty of their timely realizations highlights a need for more efficient numerical operations. Non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos methods are highly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Konstantin Weise , Erik Müller , Lucas Poßner , Thomas R. Knösche

This study compares the performances of two sampling-based strategies for the simultaneous estimation of the first-and total-orders variance-based sensitivity indices (a.k.a Sobol' indices). The first strategy was introduced by [8] and is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-16 Ivano Azzini , Thierry Mara , Rossana Rosati

Bayesian analysis enables combining prior knowledge with measurement data to learn model parameters. Commonly, one resorts to computing the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate, when only a point estimate of the parameters is of interest. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-08 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Bruno Sudret , Gerhard Müller

Many computer vision applications require robust and efficient estimation of camera geometry. The robust estimation is usually based on solving camera geometry problems from a minimal number of input data measurements, i.e., solving minimal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Snehal Bhayani , Zuzana Kukelova , Janne Heikkilä

Every computer model depends on numerical input parameters that are chosen according to mostly conservative but rigorous numerical or empirical estimates. These parameters could for example be the step size for time integrators, a seed for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-11 Matthias Frey , Andreas Adelmann

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

Global sensitivity analysis aims at measuring the relative importance of different variables or groups of variables for the variability of a quantity of interest. Among several sensitivity indices, so-called Shapley effects have recently…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 Takashi Goda

We present a framework for derivative-based global sensitivity analysis (GSA) for models with high-dimensional input parameters and functional outputs. We combine ideas from derivative-based GSA, random field representation via…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-19 Helen L. Cleaves , Alen Alexanderian , Hayley Guy , Ralph C. Smith , Meilin Yu

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are fundamental for modeling stochastic dynamics across the natural sciences and modern machine learning. Learning their solution operators with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Dai Shi , Lequan Lin , Andi Han , Luke Thompson , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zhiyong Wang , Junbin Gao

In uncertainty quantification, a stochastic modelling is often applied, where parameters are substituted by random variables. We investigate linear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations with a quantity of interest as output.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Roland Pulch , Akil Narayan

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

Quantifying uncertainty in predictive simulations for real-world problems is of paramount importance - and far from trivial, mainly due to the large number of stochastic parameters and significant computational requirements. Adaptive sparse…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-25 Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Tobias Görler , Hans-Joachim Bungartz , Frank Jenko , Tobias Neckel

In the past decade, Sobol's variance decomposition have been used as a tool - among others - in risk management. We show some links between global sensitivity analysis and stochastic ordering theories. This gives an argument in favor of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Areski Cousin , Alexandre Janon , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Ibrahima Niang