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This paper introduces Tree-based Polynomial Chaos Expansion (Tree-PCE), a novel surrogate modeling technique designed to efficiently approximate complex numerical models exhibiting nonlinearities and discontinuities. Tree-PCE combines the…

The global sensitivity analysis of a complex numerical model often calls for the estimation of variance-based importance measures, named Sobol' indices. Metamodel-based techniques have been developed in order to replace the cpu…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-22 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Michel Jullien , Beatrice Laurent , Elena Volkova

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used in the framework of uncertainty quantification. However, when dealing with high dimensional complex problems, challenging issues need to be faced. For instance, high-order polynomials may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

To tackle the curse of dimensionality and multicollinearity problems of polynomial chaos expansion for analyzing global sensitivity and reliability of models with high stochastic dimensions, this paper proposes a novel non-intrusive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Ling-Ze Bu , Wei Zhao , Wei Wang

The development of global sensitivity analysis of numerical model outputs has recently raised new issues on 1-dimensional Poincar\'e inequalities. Typically two kind of sensitivity indices are linked by a Poincar\'e type inequality, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Olivier Roustant , Franck Barthe , Bertrand Iooss

The variance-based method of Sobol sensitivity indices is very popular among practitioners due to its efficiency and easiness of interpretation. However, for high-dimensional models the direct application of this method can be very time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-26 S. Kucherenko , S. Song

Multivariate global polynomial approximations - such as polynomial chaos or stochastic collocation methods - are now in widespread use for sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification. The pseudospectral variety of these methods uses…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Paul G. Constantine , Michael S. Eldred , Eric T. Phipps

In the context of global sensitivity analysis, the Sobol' indices constitute a powerful tool for assessing the relative significance of the uncertain input parameters of a model. We herein introduce a novel approach for evaluating these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-31 K. Konakli , B. Sudret

Global sensitivity analysis is a powerful set of ideas and heuristics for understanding the importance and interplay between uncertain parameters in a computational model. Such a model is characterized by a set of input parameters and an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Chun Yui Wong , Pranay Seshadri , Geoffrey T. Parks

Building surrogate models with uncertainty quantification capabilities is essential for many engineering applications where randomness, such as variability in material properties, is unavoidable. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is widely…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Bahador Bahmani , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying the impact of input variability onto the variation of the response of a computational model. It has been widely applied to deterministic simulators, for which a set of input parameters has a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-01 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) have been used in many real-world engineering applications to quantify how the uncertainty of an output is propagated from inputs. PCEs for models with independent inputs have been extensively explored in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-02 Zhanlin Liu , Youngjun Choe

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

The estimation of variance-based importance measures (called Sobol' indices) of the input variables of a numerical model can require a large number of model evaluations. It turns to be unacceptable for high-dimensional model involving a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Matieyendou Lamboni , Bertrand Iooss , Anne-Laure Popelin , Fabrice Gamboa

Stochastic models are necessary for the realistic description of an increasing number of applications. The ability to identify influential parameters and variables is critical to a thorough analysis and understanding of the underlying…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-29 Joseph L. Hart , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have proven efficiency in a number of fields for propagating parametric uncertainties through computational models of complex systems, namely structural and fluid mechanics, chemical reactions and…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-13 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

Global sensitivity analysis is used to quantify the influence of uncertain input parameters on the response variability of a numerical model. The common quantitative methods are applicable to computer codes with scalar input variables. This…

Applications · Statistics 2008-06-09 Bertrand Iooss , Mathieu Ribatet

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) quantifies the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. The Sobol' indices, a commonly used tool in GSA, seek to do this by attributing to each variable its relative contribution to the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud