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We investigate in this paper the effect of the measurement error on the performance of Run Rules control charts monitoring the coefficient of variation (CV) squared. The previous Run Rules CV chart in the literature is improved slightly by…
The weighted OWA (WOWA) is a function that aggregates a set of values with weights assigned based on the rank and relative importance of each value. The weighted OWA of uncertain objective functions can generalize many of the criteria that…
Conserved dynamical systems are generally considered to be critical. We study a class of critical routing models, equivalent to random maps, which can be solved rigorously in the thermodynamic limit. The information flow is conserved for…
A new type of moving average is developed. Whereas a regular moving average (e.g. of price) has a built-in internal time scale (time-window, exponential weight, etc.), the moving average developed in this paper has the weight as the product…
This paper analyzes identifiability properties of structural vector autoregressive moving average (SVARMA) models driven by independent and non-Gaussian shocks. It is well known, that SVARMA models driven by Gaussian errors are not…
We introduce weighted Markovian graphs, a random walk model that decouples the transition dynamics of a Markov chain from (random) edge weights representing the cost of traversing each edge. This decoupling allows us to study the…
We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection…
Genome-wide association analysis has generated much discussion about how to preserve power to detect signals despite the detrimental effect of multiple testing on power. We develop a weighted multiple testing procedure that facilitates the…
Regression control charts are usually used to monitor variables of interest that are related to control variables. However, for fraction and/or proportion data, the use of standard regression control charts may not be adequate, since the…
Threshold autoregressive moving-average (TARMA) models are popular in time series analysis due to their ability to parsimoniously describe several complex dynamical features. However, neither theory nor estimation methods are currently…
Continuous-time autoregressive and moving average (CARMA) models are extensively used to model high-frequency and irregularly sampled data. We study Whittle estimation for the model parameters when the process is observed at renewal times.…
Theorem~ 4.1 in the 2011 paper "A Framework for Control System Design Subject to Average Data-Rate Constraints" allows one to lower bound average operational data rates in feedback loops (including the situation in which encoder and decoder…
Forecast combination and model averaging have become popular tools in forecasting and prediction, both of which combine a set of candidate estimates with certain weights and are often shown to outperform single estimates. A data-driven…
Two modifications of the chi square test for comparing usual(unweighted) and weighted histograms and two weighted histograms are proposed. Numerical examples illustrate an application of the tests for the histograms with different…
Often the rows (cases, objects) of a dataset have weights. For instance, the weight of a case may reflect the number of times it has been observed, or its reliability. For analyzing such data many rowwise weighted techniques are available,…
Data-driven and adaptive control approaches face the problem of introducing sudden distributional shifts beyond the distribution of data encountered during learning. Therefore, they are prone to invalidating the very assumptions used in…
Principal component analysis (PCA) is arguably the most widely used approach for large-dimensional factor analysis. While it is effective when the factors are sufficiently strong, it can be inconsistent when the factors are weak and/or the…
In this paper we prove a necessary condition of the optimal control problem for a class of general mean-field forward-backward stochastic systems with jumps in the case where the diffusion coefficients depend on control, the control set…
The principal component analysis (PCA) is a staple statistical and unsupervised machine learning technique in finance. The application of PCA in a financial setting is associated with several technical difficulties, such as numerical…
The widely recommended procedure of Bayesian model averaging is flawed in the M-open setting in which the true data-generating process is not one of the candidate models being fit. We take the idea of stacking from the point estimation…