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Route Choice Models predict the route choices of travelers traversing an urban area. Most of the route choice models link route characteristics of alternative routes to those chosen by the drivers. The models play an important role in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-28 Qun Liu , Supratik Mukhopadhyay , Yimin Zhu , Ravindra Gudishala , Sanaz Saeidi , Alimire Nabijiang

Predicting when and where events will occur in cities, like taxi pick-ups, crimes, and vehicle collisions, is a challenging and important problem with many applications in fields such as urban planning, transportation optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata , Takeshi Kurashima , Yusuke Tanaka , Hiroyuki Toda , Naonori Ueda

The degree to which subjects differ from each other with respect to certain properties measured by a set of variables, plays an important role in many statistical methods. For example, classification, clustering, and data visualization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-06 Michel van de Velden , Alfonso Iodice D'Enza , Angelos Markos , Carlo Cavicchia

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities in reasoning and prediction across different domains. Yet, their ability to infer temporal regularities from structured behavioral data remains underexplored. This paper…

Compartmental epidemic models have been widely used for predicting the course of epidemics, from estimating the basic reproduction number to guiding intervention policies. Studies commonly acknowledge these models' assumptions but less…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-23 Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Pratyush K. Kollepara , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The rapid development in visual crowd analysis shows a trend to count people by positioning or even detecting, rather than simply summing a density map. It also enlightens us back to the essence of the field, detection to count, which can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Qi wang , Tao Han , Junyu Gao , Yuan Yuan , Xuelong Li

People's daily activities in the urban environment are complex and vary by individuals. Existing studies using mobile phone data revealed distinct and recurrent transitional activity patterns, known as mobility motifs, in people's daily…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Junjun Yin , Guangqing Chi

In this work, we introduce the notion of Context-Based Prediction Models. A Context-Based Prediction Model determines the probability of a user's action (such as a click or a conversion) solely by relying on user and contextual features,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Jan Hartman , Assaf Klein , Davorin Kopič , Natalia Silberstein

Ensuring robust model performance in diverse real-world scenarios requires addressing generalizability across domains with covariate shifts. However, no formal procedure exists for statistically evaluating generalizability in machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Daniel de Vassimon Manela , Linying Yang , Robin J. Evans

This paper addresses the problem of classifying observations when features are context-sensitive, specifically when the testing set involves a context that is different from the training set. The paper begins with a precise definition of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

Traffic demand prediction plays a critical role in intelligent transportation systems. Existing traffic prediction models primarily rely on temporal traffic data, with limited efforts incorporating human knowledge and experience for urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Lingyu Zhang , Pengfei Xu , Guobin Wu , Jian Liang , Ruiyang Dong , Yunhai Wang , Xuan Song

The prediction of traffic congestion can serve a crucial role in making future decisions. Although many studies have been conducted regarding congestion, most of these could not cover all the important factors (e.g., weather conditions). We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Rafed Muhammad Yasir , Moumita Asad , Naushin Nower , Mohammad Shoyaib

For robots to be a part of our daily life, they need to be able to navigate among crowds not only safely but also in a socially compliant fashion. This is a challenging problem because humans tend to navigate by implicitly cooperating with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Anirudh Vemula , Katharina Muelling , Jean Oh

Traffic prediction remains a key challenge in spatio-temporal data mining, despite progress in deep learning. Accurate forecasting is hindered by the complex influence of external factors such as traffic accidents and regulations, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Hongjun Wang , Jiawei Yong , Jiawei Wang , Shintaro Fukushima , Renhe Jiang

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Trial findings are often used to inform policy and programming efforts, yet their results may not generalize well to a relevant target population due to…

Compositional generalization--understanding unseen combinations of seen primitives--is an essential reasoning capability in human intelligence. The AI community mainly studies this capability by fine-tuning neural networks on lots of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Shengnan An , Zeqi Lin , Qiang Fu , Bei Chen , Nanning Zheng , Jian-Guang Lou , Dongmei Zhang

This study examines the generalization ability of algorithm performance prediction models across various benchmark suites. Comparing the statistical similarity between the problem collections with the accuracy of performance prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Ana Nikolikj , Ana Kostovska , Gjorgjina Cenikj , Carola Doerr , Tome Eftimov

Trip flow between areas is a fundamental metric for human mobility research. Given its identification with travel demand and its relevance for transportation and urban planning, many models have been developed for its estimation. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-06 Erjian Liu , Mattia Mazzoli , Xiao-Yong Yan , Jose J. Ramasco

Counterfactual fairness requires that a person would have been classified in the same way by an AI or other algorithmic system if they had a different protected class, such as a different race or gender. This is an intuitive standard, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Jacy Reese Anthis , Victor Veitch

Citywide crowd flow analytics is of great importance to smart city efforts. It aims to model the crowd flow (e.g., inflow and outflow) of each region in a city based on historical observations. Nowadays, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Yuxuan Liang , Kun Ouyang , Yiwei Wang , Ye Liu , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng , David S. Rosenblum
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