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Latent Markov (LM) models represent an important tool of analysis of longitudinal data when response variables are affected by time-varying unobserved heterogeneity, which is accounted for by a hidden Markov chain. In order to avoid bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-10 Francesco Bartolucci , Alessio Farcomeni

Commonly used methods to analyze incomplete longitudinal clinical trial data include complete case analysis (CC) and last observation carried forward (LOCF). However, such methods rest on strong assumptions, including missing completely at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ivy Jansen , Caroline Beunckens , Geert Molenberghs , Geert Verbeke , Craig Mallinckrodt

Many relevant statistical and econometric models for the analysis of longitudinal data include a latent process to account for the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in a dynamic fashion. Such a process may be continuous (typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Bacci , Fulvia Pennoni

We propose a unified framework that extends the inference methods for classical hidden Markov models to continuous settings, where both the hidden states and observations occur in continuous time. Two different settings are analyzed: hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Qingcan Wang , Weinan E

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

We consider mark-recapture-recovery (MRR) data of animals where the model parameters are a function of individual time-varying continuous covariates. For such covariates, the covariate value is unobserved if the corresponding individual is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Roland Langrock , Ruth King

A penalized maximum likelihood estimation approach is proposed for discrete-time hidden Markov models where covariates affect the observed responses and serial dependence is considered. The proposed penalized maximum likelihood method…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-04 Luca Brusa , Fulvia Pennoni , Francesco Bartolucci , Romina Peruilh Bagolini

We illustrate a class of conditional models for the analysis of longitudinal data suffering attrition in random effects models framework, where the subject-specific random effects are assumed to be discrete and to follow a time-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-28 Antonello Maruotti

This paper provides further insight into the key concept of missing at random (MAR) in incomplete data analysis. Following the usual selection modelling approach we envisage two models with separable parameters: a model for the response of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Guobing Lu , John B. Copas

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

In longitudinal studies, subjects may be lost to follow-up, or miss some of the planned visits, leading to incomplete response sequences. When the probability of non-response, conditional on the available covariates and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Alessandra Spagnoli , Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfò

We propose a modified version of the three-step estimation method for the latent class model with covariates, which may be used to estimate latent Markov models for longitudinal data. The three-step estimation approach we propose is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-06 Francesco Bartolucci , Giorgio E. Montanari , Silvia Pandolfi

Dropout represents a typical issue to be addressed when dealing with longitudinal studies. If the mechanism leading to missing information is non-ignorable, inference based on the observed data only may be severely biased. A frequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfo'

We study the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for general patterns of bivariate missing data for normal and multinomial random variables, under the assumption that the data is missing at random (MAR). For normal data, the score…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-07 Serkan Hosten , Seth Sullivant

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

Efficient estimation methods for simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) models with missing data in the response variable have been well-explored in the literature. A common practice is to introduce measurement error into SAR models to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Anjana Wijayawardhana , Thomas Suesse , David Gunawan

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

We propose an l1-regularized likelihood method for estimating the inverse covariance matrix in the high-dimensional multivariate normal model in presence of missing data. Our method is based on the assumption that the data are missing at…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

Health economic evaluations based on patient-level data collected alongside clinical trials~(e.g. health related quality of life and resource use measures) are an important component of the process which informs resource allocation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-25 Andrea Gabrio , Rachael Hunter , Alexina J. Mason , Gianluca Baio
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