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We consider bounds on the generalization performance of the least-norm linear regressor, in the over-parameterized regime where it can interpolate the data. We describe a sense in which any generalization bound of a type that is commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-19 Peter L. Bartlett , Philip M. Long

A surprising phenomenon in modern machine learning is the ability of a highly overparameterized model to generalize well (small error on the test data) even when it is trained to memorize the training data (zero error on the training data).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-01 Jasper Tan , Blake Mason , Hamid Javadi , Richard G. Baraniuk

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

Breakthroughs in machine learning are rapidly changing science and society, yet our fundamental understanding of this technology has lagged far behind. Indeed, one of the central tenets of the field, the bias-variance trade-off, appears to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Siyuan Ma , Soumik Mandal

Recently, the benefit of heavily overparameterized models has been observed in machine learning tasks: models with enough capacity to easily cross the \emph{interpolation threshold} improve in generalization error compared to the classical…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-09-03 Matthias Vigl , Lukas Heinrich

Recent work showed that there could be a large gap between the classical uniform convergence bound and the actual test error of zero-training-error predictors (interpolators) such as deep neural networks. To better understand this gap, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Zitong Yang , Yu Bai , Song Mei

Understanding when and why interpolating methods generalize well has recently been a topic of interest in statistical learning theory. However, systematically connecting interpolating methods to achievable notions of optimality has only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Eduard Oravkin , Patrick Rebeschini

Statistical wisdom suggests that very complex models, interpolating training data, will be poor at predicting unseen examples.Yet, this aphorism has been recently challenged by the identification of benign overfitting regimes, specially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Ludovic Arnould , Claire Boyer , Erwan Scornet

Conventional statistical wisdom established a well-understood relationship between model complexity and prediction error, typically presented as a U-shaped curve reflecting a transition between under- and overfitting regimes. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Alicia Curth , Alan Jeffares , Mihaela van der Schaar

Compression techniques for deep neural network models are becoming very important for the efficient execution of high-performance deep learning systems on edge-computing devices. The concept of model compression is also important for…

Empirically it has been observed that the performance of deep neural networks steadily improves as we increase model size, contradicting the classical view on overfitting and generalization. Recently, the double descent phenomena has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári , Omar Rivasplata , Amal Rannen-Triki , Razvan Pascanu

Classically, data interpolation with a parametrized model class is possible as long as the number of parameters is larger than the number of equations to be satisfied. A puzzling phenomenon in deep learning is that models are trained with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Sébastien Bubeck , Mark Sellke

A central question in modern machine learning and imaging sciences is to quantify the number of effective parameters of vastly over-parameterized models. The degrees of freedom is a mathematically convenient way to define this number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-12 Clarice Poon , Gabriel Peyré

Although overparameterized models have achieved remarkable practical success, their theoretical properties, particularly their generalization behavior, remain incompletely understood. The well known double descents phenomenon suggests that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Haoran Zhan , Yingcun Xia

Modern machine learning models often employ a huge number of parameters and are typically optimized to have zero training loss; yet surprisingly, they possess near-optimal prediction performance, contradicting classical learning theory. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Zhu Li , Zhi-Hua Zhou , Arthur Gretton

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

In statistics and machine learning, when we train a fitted model on available data, we typically want to ensure that we are searching within a model class that contains at least one accurate model -- that is, we would like to ensure an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Manuel M. Müller , Yuetian Luo , Rina Foygel Barber

Motivated by recently emerging problems in machine learning and statistics, we propose data models which relax the familiar i.i.d. assumption. In essence, we seek to understand what it means for data to come from a set of probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson

We give a general result on the effective degrees of freedom for nonlinear least squares estimation, which relates the degrees of freedom to the divergence of the estimator. We show that in a general framework, the divergence of the least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-15 Niels Richard Hansen , Alexander Sokol

One of the major open problems in machine learning is to characterize generalization in the overparameterized regime, where most traditional generalization bounds become inconsistent even for overparameterized linear regression. In many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Jing Xu , Jiaye Teng , Yang Yuan , Andrew Chi-Chih Yao