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Determining the sensitivity of the posterior to perturbations of the prior and likelihood is an important part of the Bayesian workflow. We introduce a practical and computationally efficient sensitivity analysis approach using importance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-05 Noa Kallioinen , Topi Paananen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

This paper introduces a new framework for data efficient and versatile learning. Specifically: 1) We develop ML-PIP, a general framework for Meta-Learning approximate Probabilistic Inference for Prediction. ML-PIP extends existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Jonathan Gordon , John Bronskill , Matthias Bauer , Sebastian Nowozin , Richard E. Turner

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Martin Jankowiak

There is nowadays a constant flux of data being generated and collected in all types of real world systems. These data sets are often indexed by time, space or both requiring appropriate approaches to analyze the data. In univariate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

In this paper we introduce a new class of multivariate unimodal distributions, motivated by Khintchine's representation. We start by proposing a univariate model, whose support covers all the unimodal distributions on the real line. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 Marina S. Paez , Stephen G. Walker

While the tree-based machine learning (TBML) models exhibit superior performance compared to neural networks on tabular data and hold promise for energy-efficient acceleration using aCAM arrays, their ideal deployment on hardware with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Tergel Molom-Ochir , Brady Taylor , Hai Li , Yiran Chen

Multiresolution Matrix Factorization (MMF) was recently introduced as a method for finding multiscale structure and defining wavelets on graphs/matrices. In this paper we derive pMMF, a parallel algorithm for computing the MMF…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-07-17 Risi Kondor , Nedelina Teneva , Pramod K. Mudrakarta

A numerical framework is developed to solve various types of PDEs on complicated domains, including steady and time-dependent, non-linear and non-local PDEs, with different boundary conditions that can also include non-linear and non-local…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Jonna C. Roden , Rory D. Mills-Williams , John W. Pearson , Benjamin D. Goddard

It is described how the Hermite-Pad\'e polynomials corresponding to an algebraic approximant for a power series may be used to predict coefficients of the power series that have not been used to compute the Hermite-Pad\'e polynomials. A…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Herbert H. H. Homeier

Understanding how machine learning models respond to distributional shifts is a key research challenge. Mazes serve as an excellent testbed due to varied generation algorithms offering a nuanced platform to simulate both subtle and…

Based on the random matrix model, we can build statistical models using massive datasets across the power grid, and employ hypothesis testing for anomaly detection. First, the aim of this paper is to make the first attempt to apply the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-06 Zenan Ling , Robert C. Qiu , Xing He , Chu Lei

Inverse linear programming (LP) has received increasing attention due to its potential to generate efficient optimization formulations that can closely replicate the behavior of a complex system. However, inversely inferred parameters and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Zahed Shahmoradi , Taewoo Lee

We introduce Merlion, an open-source machine learning library for time series. It features a unified interface for many commonly used models and datasets for anomaly detection and forecasting on both univariate and multivariate time series,…

We describe here a framework for a certain class of multiscale likelihood factorizations wherein, in analogy to a wavelet decomposition of an L^2 function, a given likelihood function has an alternative representation as a product of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric D. Kolaczyk , Robert D. Nowak

We consider a wide range of matrix models and study them using the Monte Carlo technique in the large $N$ limit. The results we obtain agree with exact analytic expressions and recent numerical bootstrap methods for models with one and two…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-04-05 Raghav G. Jha

This paper investigates the use of multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) to address distributed channel access in wireless local area networks. In particular, we consider the challenging yet more practical case where the agents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Jiaming Yu , Le Liang , Chongtao Guo , Ziyang Guo , Shi Jin , Geoffrey Ye Li

The ongoing replication crisis in science has increased interest in the methodology of replication studies. We propose a novel Bayesian analysis approach using power priors: The likelihood of the original study's data is raised to the power…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Samuel Pawel , Frederik Aust , Leonhard Held , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Linear systems are the bedrock of virtually all numerical computation. Machine learning poses specific challenges for the solution of such systems due to their scale, characteristic structure, stochasticity and the central role of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Jonathan Wenger , Philipp Hennig

Reinforcement learning is increasingly finding success across domains where the problem can be represented as a Markov decision process. Evolutionary computation algorithms have also proven successful in this domain, exhibiting similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Rohan Tangri , Danilo P. Mandic , Anthony G. Constantinides

We improve and refine a method for certifying that the values' sizes computed by an imperative program will be bounded by polynomials in the program's inputs' sizes. Our work ''tames'' the non-determinism of the original analysis, and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Clément Aubert , Thomas Rubiano , Neea Rusch , Thomas Seiller