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Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Neural networks have shown great predictive power when dealing with various unstructured data such as images and natural languages. The Bayesian neural network captures the uncertainty of prediction by putting a prior distribution for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-28 Kyeongwon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

Approximate Bayesian computation methods can be used to evaluate posterior distributions without having to calculate likelihoods. In this paper we discuss and apply an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) method based on sequential Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2009-01-15 Tina Toni , David Welch , Natalja Strelkowa , Andreas Ipsen , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Ultra-high-dimensional tensor predictors are increasingly common in neuroimaging and other biomedical studies, yet existing methods rarely integrate continuous, count, and binary responses in a single coherent model. We present a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-21 Shao-Hsuan Wang , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

Scientific machine learning increasingly uses spectral methods to understand physical systems. Current spectral learning approaches provide only point estimates without uncertainty quantification, limiting their use in safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Mohammad Nooraiepour

Neural networks (NNs) are primarily developed within the frequentist statistical framework. Nevertheless, frequentist NNs lack the capability to provide uncertainties in the predictions, and hence their robustness can not be adequately…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Nastaran Dabiran , Brandon Robinson , Rimple Sandhu , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Posterior contractions rates (PCRs) strengthen the notion of Bayesian consistency, quantifying the speed at which the posterior distribution concentrates on arbitrarily small neighborhoods of the true model, with probability tending to 1 or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Federico Camerlenghi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a popular approach to capturing unobserved heterogeneity across individual units. However, standard estimation methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be impracticable for modeling outcomes from…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Tensor decompositions play a crucial role in numerous applications related to multi-way data analysis. By employing a Bayesian framework with sparsity-inducing priors, Bayesian Tensor Ring (BTR) factorization offers probabilistic estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Zerui Tao , Toshihisa Tanaka , Qibin Zhao

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

Deep learning (DL)-based methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance for many medical image segmentation tasks. Nevertheless, recent studies show that deep neural networks (DNNs) can be miscalibrated and overconfident, leading to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-28 Yidong Zhao , Joao Tourais , Iain Pierce , Christian Nitsche , Thomas A. Treibel , Sebastian Weingärtner , Artur M. Schweidtmann , Qian Tao

Nonresponse weighting adjustment using propensity score is a popular method for handling unit nonresponse. However, including all available auxiliary variables into the propensity model can lead to inefficient and inconsistent estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-31 Hejian Sang , Gyuhyeong Goh , Jae Kwang Kim

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Comparative meta-analyses of groups of subjects by integrating multiple observational studies rely on estimated propensity scores (PSs) to mitigate covariate imbalances. However, PS estimation grapples with the theoretical and practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Subharup Guha , Yi Li

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall

In this paper, we propose a scalable Bayesian method for sparse covariance matrix estimation by incorporating a continuous shrinkage prior with a screening procedure. In the first step of the procedure, the off-diagonal elements with small…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-22 Kyoungjae Lee , Seongil Jo , Kyeongwon Lee , Jaeyong Lee