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The increasing integration of world economies, which organize in complex multilayer networks of interactions, is one of the critical factors for the global propagation of economic crises. We adopt the network science approach to quantify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-09 Michele Starnini , Marián Boguñá , M. Ángeles Serrano

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

Financial spillovers in interconnected systems, such as global banking networks, require tools that capture temporal and frequency dynamics, while incorporating the underlying network topology. While current network time series models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Marina I. Knight

The critical infrastructures of the nation such as the power grid and the communication network are highly interdependent. Also, it has been observed that there exists complex interdependent relationships between individual entities of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-20 Joydeep Banerjee , Arun Das , Arunabha Sen

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

Accurate vulnerability assessment of critical infrastructure systems is cardinal to enhance infrastructure resilience. Unlike traditional approaches, this paper proposes a novel infrastructure vulnerability assessment framework that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Prasangsha Ganguly , Sayanti Mukherjee

An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

Modern world builds on the resilience of interdependent infrastructures characterized as complex networks. Recently, a framework for analysis of interdependent networks has been developed to explain the mechanism of resilience in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Peng Zhang , Baisong Cheng , Zhuang Zhao , Daqing Li , Guangquan Lu , Yunpeng Wang , Jinghua Xiao

National economies rest on networks of millions of customer-supplier relations. Some companies -- in the case of their default -- can trigger significant cascades of shock in the supply-chain network and are thus systemically risky. Up to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-13 Tobias Reisch , Georg Heiler , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner

Understanding and characterizing the vulnerability of urban infrastructures, which refers to the engineering facilities essential for the regular running of cities and that exist naturally in the form of networks, is of great value to us.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Jinzhu Mao , Liu Cao , Chen Gao , Huandong Wang , Hangyu Fan , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

In this paper, we study the interdependency between the power grid and the communication network used to control the grid. A communication node depends on the power grid in order to receive power for operation, and a power node depends on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Marzieh Parandehgheibi , Eytan Modiano , David Hay

In this paper the interactions between component failures are quantified and the interaction matrix and interaction network are obtained. The quantified interactions can capture the general propagation patterns of the cascades from…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-26 Junjian Qi , Kai Sun , Shengwei Mei

Many man-made networks support each other to provide efficient services and resources to the customers, despite that this support produces a strong interdependency between the individual networks. Thus an initial failure of a fraction $1-p$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-02-11 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Systemic risks of default contagion in the Russian interbank market are investigated. The analysis is based on considering the bow-tie structure of the weighted oriented graph describing the structure of the interbank loans. A probabilistic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-05 A. V. Leonidov , E. L. Rumyantsev

Recent work in the area of interdependent networks has focused on interactions between two systems of the same type. However, an important and ubiquitous class of systems are those involving monitoring and control, an example of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-09-27 Richard G. Morris , Marc Barthelemy

Natural and technological interdependent systems have been shown to be highly vulnerable due to cascading failures and an abrupt collapse of global connectivity under initial failure. Mitigating the risk by partial disconnection endangers…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-13 Christian M. Schneider , Nuri Yazdani , Nuno A. M. Araujo , Shlomo Havlin , Hans J. Herrmann

Valuing corporate bonds in systemic economies is challenging due to intricate webs of inter-institutional exposures. When a bank defaults, cascading losses propagate through the network, with payments determined by a system of fixed-point…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Dohyun Ahn , Agostino Capponi

Recent network research has focused on the cascading failures in a system of interdependent networks and the necessary preconditions for system collapse. An important question that has not been addressed is how to repair a failing system…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-27 M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , H. E. Stanley , S. Havlin , L. A. Braunstein

We investigate cascades in networks consisting of strategic agents with interdependent security. We assume that the strategic agents have choices between i) investing in protecting themselves, ii) purchasing insurance to transfer (some)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-27 Richard J. La