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Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial…
The availability of accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasts is pivotal for electricity market participants. In the context of trade liberalisation and market harmonisation in the European markets, accurate price forecasting becomes…
Cryptocurrency blockchains, beyond their primary role as distributed payment systems, are increasingly used to store and share arbitrary content, such as text messages and files. Although often non-financial, this hidden content can impact…
The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…
In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…
Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…
Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…
Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…
Designing robust systems for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. Even more challenging is to build a system for constructing an optimum portfolio of stocks based on…
We study the problem of the intraday short-term volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange markets. The predictions are built by using transaction and order book data from different markets where the exchange takes place.…
Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…
This paper forecasts future Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attacks using deep learning models. Although several studies address forecasting DDoS attacks, they remain relatively limited compared to detection-focused research. By…
Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…
Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…
We investigate the effectiveness of different machine learning methodologies in predicting economic cycles. We identify the deep learning methodology of Bi-LSTM with Autoencoder as the most accurate model to forecast the beginning and end…
This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…
This study investigates the transmission of monetary policy narratives to Bitcoin prices, distinguishing the impact of ex-ante expectations from ex-post interest rate implementation. We introduce a high-frequency Monetary Policy…
Designing robust and accurate predictive models for stock price prediction has been an active area of research for a long time. While on one side, the supporters of the efficient market hypothesis claim that it is impossible to forecast…
Option pricing is a significant problem for option risk management and trading. In this article, we utilize a framework to present financial data from different sources. The data is processed and represented in a form of 2D tensors in three…
We present a detailed bubble analysis of the Bitcoin to US Dollar price dynamics from January 2012 to February 2018. We introduce a robust automatic peak detection method that classifies price time series into periods of uninterrupted…