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Related papers: Hourly Warning for Strong Earthquakes

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Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

We examine the precursory behavior of geoelectric signals before large earthquakes by means of an algorithm including an alarm-based model and binary classification. This algorithm, introduced originally by Chen and Chen [Nat. Hazards., 84,…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-15 Hong-Jia Chen , Chien-Chih Chen , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

This study describes a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based technique for the prediction of intensity measurements (IMs) of ground shaking. The input data to the CNN model consists of multistation 3C broadband and accelerometric…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-13 Dario Jozinović , Anthony Lomax , Ivan Štajduhar , Alberto Michelini

If we assume that earthquakes are chaotic, and influenced locally then chaos theory suggests that there should be a temporal association between earthquakes in a local region that should be revealed with statistical examination. To date no…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 Parsa Rastin , Michael LuValle

Earthquake hypocenters form the basis for a wide array of seismological analyses. Pick-based earthquake location workflows rely on the accuracy of phase pickers and may be biased when dealing with complex earthquake sequences in…

Earthquake early warning systems are crucial for protecting areas that are subject to these natural disasters. An essential part of these systems is the detection procedure. Traditionally these systems work with seismograph data, but high…

We present recent data of electric signals detected at the Earth's surface, which confirm the earlier finding [Phys. Rev. E 73, 031114 (2006)] that the value of the entropy in natural time as well as its value under time reversal are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. A Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , M. S. Lazaridou

We examine the applicability of modern neural network architectures to the midterm prediction of earthquakes. Our data-based classification model aims to predict if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold takes place at a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Roman Kail , Alexey Zaytsev , Evgeny Burnaev

The time of occurrence of the two most resent large EQs of New Zealand (Mw = 7.0 on September 3rd, 2010 and Mw = 6.1 on February 21st, 2011) is compared to the time when the lithospheric oscillation at the focal area reaches its peak…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-02-28 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

The present paper deals with reliability of a gradient of atmospheric electric field potential as an indicator of seismic activity increase. With this in view, records of atmospheric electric field potential gradients of Caucasus region for…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-11-26 M. K. Kachakhidze , Z. A. Kereselidze , N. K. Kachakhidze

In this work the preseismic "strange attractor like" precursor is studied, in the domain of the Earth's oscillating electric field for T = 6 months. It is assumed that the specific oscillating electric field is generated by the…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-01-28 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

Electromagnetic (EM) emissions in a wide frequency spectrum ranging from kHz to MHz are produced by opening cracks, which can be considered as the so-called precursors of general fracture. We emphasize that the MHz radiation appears earlier…

Endurance time method is a time history dynamic analysis in which structures are subjected to predesigned intensifying excitations. This method provides a tool for response prediction that correlates structural responses to the intensity of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Homayoon E. Estekanchi , Mohammadreza Mashayekhi , Hassan Vafai , Goodarz Ahmadi , S. Ali Mirfarhadi , Mojtaba Harati

We present an axiomatic approach to earthquake forecasting in terms of multi-component random fields on a lattice. This approach provides a method for constructing point estimates and confidence intervals for conditional probabilities of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-10-29 V. Gertsik , M. Kelbert , A. Krichevets

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

Foreshock events provide valuable insight to predict imminent major earthquakes. However, it is difficult to identify them in real time. In this paper, I propose an algorithm based on deep learning to instantaneously classify a seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-29 K. Vikraman

Phase maps, of the earth's electric field monitored at PYR and ATH monitoring sites in Greece, were compiled for two distinct oscillating earth's electric field components long before, during and after the Nafpactos EQs in Greece (January…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-16 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis

In order to investigate the capability of the preseismic electric field "strange attractor like" precursor as a time predictor of a large EQ within a short time window (short-term prediction), the specific methodology was applied on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-10-28 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

This paper introduces EQShapelets (EarthQuake Shapelets) a time-series shape-based approach embedded in machine learning to autonomously detect earthquakes. It promises to overcome the challenges in the field of seismology related to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Monica Arul , Ahsan Kareem

The earthquake of Skyros Island in Greece (26/7/2001, Ms = 6.1 R) was announced three days before its occurrence in a meeting organized by the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia on 2001. In this work a review is made on the results of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-02-11 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos