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Large deviation theory has provided important clues for the choice of importance sampling measures for Monte Carlo evaluation of exceedance probabilities. However, Glasserman and Wang [Ann. Appl. Probab. 7 (1997) 731--746] have given…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

Suppose an $n \times d$ design matrix in a linear regression problem is given, but the response for each point is hidden unless explicitly requested. The goal is to sample only a small number $k \ll n$ of the responses, and then produce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

In this paper, we discuss the worst-case of distortion riskmetrics for general distributions when only partial information (mean and variance) is known. This result is applicable to general class of distortion risk measures and variability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-30 Baishuai Zuo , Chuancun Yin

Given a large set $U$ where each item $a\in U$ has weight $w(a)$, we want to estimate the total weight $W=\sum_{a\in U} w(a)$ to within factor of $1\pm\varepsilon$ with some constant probability $>1/2$. Since $n=|U|$ is large, we want to do…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Lorenzo Beretta , Jakub Tětek

This paper introduces and studies a new class of nonparametric prior distributions. Random probability distribution functions are constructed via normalization of random measures driven by increasing additive processes. In particular, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prunster , Stephen G. Walker

In this paper, we consider the nonasymptotic sequential estimation of means of random variables bounded in between zero and one. We have rigorously demonstrated that, in order to guarantee prescribed relative precision and confidence level,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

Considering two random variables with different laws to which we only have access through finite size iid samples, we address how to reweight the first sample so that its empirical distribution converges towards the true law of the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Julien Reygner , Adrien Touboul

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

Fr\'echet mean and variance provide a way of obtaining mean and variance for general metric space valued random variables and can be used for statistical analysis of data objects that lie in abstract spaces devoid of algebraic structure and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

In terms of the Dirac representation of sample mean and the weak convergence of empirical distributions that holds almost surely, we construct a new proof for a strong law of large numbers of Kolmogorov's type with i.i.d. random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Yu-Lin Chou

We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

We prove a large deviations principle for the total spin and the number of edges under the annealed Ising measure on generalized random graphs. We also give detailed results on how the annealing over the Ising model changes the degrees of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-12-05 Sander Dommers , Cristian Giardinà , Claudio Giberti , Remco van der Hofstad

We study variational principles for metric mean dimension. First we prove that in the variational principle of Lindenstrauss and Tsukamoto it suffices to take supremum over ergodic measures. Second we derive a variational principle for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Yonatan Gutman , Adam Śpiewak

Information collection is a fundamental problem in big data, where the size of sampling sets plays a very important role. This work considers the information collection process by taking message importance into account. Similar to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-15 Shanyun Liu , Rui She , Pingyi Fan

Large deviation principles are established for the Fleming-Viot processes with neutral mutation and selection, and the corresponding equilibrium measures as the sampling rate goes to 0. All results are first proved for the finite allele…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Donald Dawson , Shui Feng

The sequence of random probability measures $\nu_n$ that gives a path of length $n$, $\unsur{n}$ times the sum of the random weights collected along the paths, is shown to satisfy a large deviations principle with good rate function the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-29 Philippe Carmona

We prove a large deviation result for a random symmetric n x n matrix with independent identically distributed entries to have a few eigenvalues of size n. If the spectrum S survives when the matrix is rescaled by a factor of n, it can only…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-22 Sourav Chatterjee , S. R. S. Varadhan

The robustness of risk measures to changes in underlying loss distributions (distributional uncertainty) is of crucial importance in making well-informed decisions. In this paper, we quantify, for the class of distortion risk measures with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-14 Carole Bernard , Silvana M. Pesenti , Steven Vanduffel

We study large deviations of the size of the largest connected component in a general class of inhomogeneous random graphs with iid weights, parametrized so that the degree distribution is regularly varying. We derive a large-deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Joost Jorritsma , Bert Zwart