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We present a non-probabilistic, path-by-path framework for studying path-dependent (i.e., where weight is a functional of time and historical time-series), long-only portfolio allocation in continuous-time based on [Chiu & Cont '23], where…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-05 Henry Chiu

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach

We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette , J. Delour , A. Arneodo

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Caleb Stroup

As the cornerstone of modern portfolio theory, Markowitz's mean-variance optimization is considered a major model adopted in portfolio management. However, due to the difficulty of estimating its parameters, it cannot be applied to all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Mengying Zhu , Xiaolin Zheng , Yan Wang , Yuyuan Li , Qianqiao Liang

We consider the problem of mean-variance portfolio optimization for a generic covariance matrix subject to the budget constraint and the constraint for the expected return, with the application of the replica method borrowed from the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-04 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor

We develop a new analysis for portfolio optimisation with options, tackling the three fundamental issues with this problem: asymmetric options' distributions, high dimensionality and dependence structure. To do so, we propose a new…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-10 Jonathan Raimana Chan , Thomas Huckle , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

In this paper, we introduce EvoPort, a novel evolutionary portfolio optimization method that leverages stochastic exploration over a spectrum of investment pipeline depths. From raw equity data, we employ a randomized feature generation…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-11 Nguyen Van Thanh , Nguyen Thi Hau

In practice, including large number of assets in mean-variance portfolios can lead to higher transaction costs and management fees. To address this, one common approach is to select a smaller subset of assets from the larger pool,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Hyunglip Bae , Haeun Jeon , Minsu Park , Yongjae Lee , Woo Chang Kim

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

The extension of bivariate measures of dependence to non-Euclidean spaces is a challenging problem. The non-linear nature of these spaces makes the generalisation of classical measures of linear dependence (such as the covariance) not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Meshal Abuqrais , Davide Pigoli

Since Markowitz's mean-variance framework, optimizing a portfolio that maximizes the profit and minimizes the risk has been ubiquitous in the financial industry. Initially, profit and risk were measured by the first two moments of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Xiwen Wang , Rui Zhou , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar

Pearson's $\rho$ is the most used measure of statistical dependence. It gives a complete characterization of dependence in the Gaussian case, and it also works well in some non-Gaussian situations. It is well known, however, that it has a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Dag Tjøstheim , Håkon Otneim , Bård Støve

In this paper, we present an extended exploratory continuous-time mean-variance framework for portfolio management. Our strategy involves a new clustering method based on simulated annealing, which allows for more practical asset selection.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-07 Zhou Fang

A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Sebastien Valeyre

Markowitz' celebrated optimal portfolio theory generally fails to deliver out-of-sample diversification. In this note, we propose a new portfolio construction strategy based on symmetry arguments only, leading to "Eigenrisk Parity"…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Raphael Benichou , Yves Lempérière , Emmanuel Sérié , Julien Kockelkoren , Philip Seager , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

In many applications, data come with a natural ordering. This ordering can often induce local dependence among nearby variables. However, in complex data, the width of this dependence may vary, making simple assumptions such as a constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Guo Yu , Jacob Bien

We introduce a faithful representation of the heavy tail multivariate distribution of asset returns, as parsimonous as the Gaussian framework. Using calculation techniques of functional integration and Feynman diagrams borrowed from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen , P. Simonetti

Portfolio diversification is one of the most effective ways to minimize investment risk. Individuals and fund managers aim to create a portfolio of assets that not only have high returns but are also uncorrelated. This goal can be achieved…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Moein Owhadi-Kareshk , Pierre Boulanger

Portfolio optimization is a critical task in investment. Most existing portfolio optimization methods require information on the distribution of returns of the assets that make up the portfolio. However, such distribution information is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Masahiro Kato , Kentaro Baba , Hibiki Kaibuchi , Ryo Inokuchi
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