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We introduce a framework to intertwine dynamical processes of different nature, each with its own distinct network topology, using a multilayer network approach. As an example of collective phenomena emerging from the interactions of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-04-05 Vincenzo Nicosia , Per Sebastian Skardal , Alex Arenas , Vito Latora

We study statistical aspects of state-dependent Hawkes processes, which are an extension of Hawkes processes where a self- and cross-exciting counting process and a state process are fully coupled, interacting with each other. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-17 Maxime Morariu-Patrichi , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this paper, we study a model of network formation in large populations. Each agent can choose the strength of interaction (i.e. connection) with other agents to find a Nash equilibrium. Different from the recently-developed theory of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Gokce Dayanikli , Mathieu Lauriere

Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process with clustering effect whose intensity depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in neuroscience, finance and many other fields. In this paper, we obtain a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

We investigate how the properties of inhomogeneous patterns of activity, appearing in many natural and social phenomena, depend on the temporal resolution used to define individual bursts of activity. To this end, we consider time series of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-03 Daniele Notarmuzi , Claudio Castellano , Alessandro Flammini , Dario Mazzilli , Filippo Radicchi

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

The frog model is a stochastic model for the spreading of an epidemic on a graph, in which a dormant particle starts to perform a simple random walk on the graph and to awake other particles, once it becomes active. We study two versions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Elcio Lebensztayn , Mario Andres Estrada

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

As experiments advance to record from tens of thousands of neurons, statistical physics provides a framework for understanding how collective activity emerges from networks of fine-scale correlations. While modeling these populations is…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 David P. Carcamo , Christopher W. Lynn

Graphs are a standard framework for describing dynamical processes shaped by pairwise interactions among agents. But many systems involve interactions in groups of three or more agents. Here, we develop a method of "$\ell$-hyperedge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-25 Anzhi Sheng , Alex McAvoy , Ye Tian , Silun Zhang , Angela Fontan , Joshua B. Plotkin

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process with constraints on its conditional density. It is a multivariate point process with conditional intensity similar to that of a multivariate Hawkes process but certain events are forbidden with…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-14 Ban Zheng , François Roueff , Frédéric Abergel

Link prediction models are increasingly used to recommend interactions in evolving networks, yet their impact on network structure is typically assessed from static snapshots. In particular, observed homophily conflates intrinsic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Mathilde Perez , Raphaël Romero , Jefrey Lijffijt , Charlotte Laclau

We consider a class of graph-valued stochastic processes in which each vertex has a type that fluctuates randomly over time. Collectively, the paths of the vertex types up to a given time determine the probabilities that the edges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

A broad range of dynamical systems involve multi-body interactions, or group interactions, which may not be encoded in traditional graphical structures. In this work, we focus on a canonical example from opinion dynamics, the Majority Rule,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-01 James Noonan , Renaud Lambiotte

Temporal coherence-persistent alignment across time-can arise between agents with fundamentally distinct dynamics, a behavior that classical diffusion models (e.g., Brownian motion, fractional Brownian motion, generalized Langevin equation)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-19 Aranyak Sarkar

Properties of strong mixing have been established for the stationary linear Hawkes process in the univariate case, and can serve as a basis for statistical applications. In this paper, we provide the technical arguments needed to extend the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Ousmane Boly , Felix Cheysson , Thi Hien Nguyen

The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

We study an interacting particle system whose dynamics depends on an interacting random environment. As the number of particles grows large, the transition rate of the particles slows down (perhaps because they share a common resource of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-16 Charles Bordenave , David McDonald , Alexandre Proutiere