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We classify two types of Hierarchical Bayesian Model found in the literature as Hierarchical Prior Model (HPM) and Hierarchical Stochastic Model (HSM). Then, we focus on studying the theoretical implications of the HSM. Using examples of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-10 Stephen Wu , Panagiotis Angelikopoulos , James L. Beck , Petros Koumoutsakos

Quantifying uncertainty and updating reliability are essential for ensuring the safety and performance of engineering systems. This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian modeling (HBM) framework to quantify uncertainty and update…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Xinyu Jia , Weinan Hou , Costas Papadimitriou

The rising growth of deep neural networks (DNNs) and datasets in size motivates the need for efficient solutions for simultaneous model selection and training. Many methods for hyperparameter optimization (HPO) of iterative learners,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Syrine Belakaria , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Nicolo Fusi , Rishit Sheth

We develop amortized population Gibbs (APG) samplers, a class of scalable methods that frames structured variational inference as adaptive importance sampling. APG samplers construct high-dimensional proposals by iterating over updates to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-13 Hao Wu , Heiko Zimmermann , Eli Sennesh , Tuan Anh Le , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) with neural networks can solve probabilistic inverse problems orders of magnitude faster than classical methods. However, ABI is not yet sufficiently robust for widespread and safe application. When…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Aayush Mishra , Daniel Habermann , Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Virtual brain twins are personalized digital models of individual human subject or patient's brains, allowing for mechanistic interpretation of neuroimaging data features. Training and inference with these models however presents a pair of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-27 Nina Baldy , Marmaduke M Woodman , Viktor K Jirsa

Disease in the brain is often associated with subtle, spatially diffuse, or complex tissue changes that may lie beneath the level of gross visual inspection, even on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Unfortunately, current computer-assisted…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Shinjini Kundu , Soheil Kolouri , Kirk I Erickson , Arthur F Kramer , Edward McAuley , Gustavo K Rohde

Bayesian posterior distributions naturally represent parameter uncertainty informed by data. However, when the parameter space is complex, as in many nonparametric settings where it is infinite-dimensional or combinatorially large, standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

Monocular depth estimation from a single RGB image remains a fundamental challenge in computer vision due to inherent scale ambiguity and the absence of explicit geometric cues. Existing approaches typically rely on increasingly complex…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Wuqi Su , Huilun Song , Chen Zhao , Chi Xu

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

Statisticians increasingly face the problem to reconsider the adaptability of classical inference techniques. In particular, divers types of high-dimensional data structures are observed in various research areas; disclosing the boundaries…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Paavo Sattler , Markus Pauly

In statistics and machine learning, detecting dependencies in datasets is a central challenge. We propose a novel neural network model for supervised graph structure learning, i.e., the process of learning a mapping between observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-14 Philipp Froehlich , Heinz Koeppl

Model parameter inference is a universal problem across science. This challenge is particularly pronounced in developmental biology, where faithful mechanistic descriptions require spatial-stochastic models with numerous parameters, yet…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-07-16 Michael A. Ramirez-Sierra , Thomas R. Sokolowski

We propose a Bayesian framework for uncertainty quantification and comparison in brain connectivity graph analysis. Standard graph-based approaches typically rely on point estimates of correlation matrices, overlooking the uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Alice Chevaux , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Sophie Achard

Variational inference (VI) provides fast approximations of a Bayesian posterior in part because it formulates posterior approximation as an optimization problem: to find the closest distribution to the exact posterior over some family of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-03 Fangjian Guo , Xiangyu Wang , Kai Fan , Tamara Broderick , David B. Dunson

In this paper, we consider a Bayesian bi-level variable selection problem in high-dimensional regressions. In many practical situations, it is natural to assign group membership to each predictor. Examples include that genetic variants can…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-29 Mingxuan Cai , Mingwei Dai , Jingsi Ming , Heng Peng , Jin Liu , Can Yang

Bayesian neural network models (BNN) have re-surged in recent years due to the advancement of scalable computations and its utility in solving complex prediction problems in a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Zihuan Liu , Tapabrata Maiti

The surface Boundary Element Method (BEM) is one of the most commonly employed formulations to solve the forward problem in electroencephalography, but the applicability of its classical incarnations is lamentably limited to piece-wise…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-27 Maxime Y. Monin , Lyes Rahmouni , Francesco P. Andriulli

Agent-based modelling (ABM) is a widespread approach to simulate complex systems. Advancements in computational processing and storage have facilitated the adoption of ABMs across many fields; however, ABMs face challenges that limit their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 M Lopes Alves , Joel Dyer , Doyne Farmer , Michael Wooldridge , Anisoara Calinescu