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Solving partial differential equations in high dimensions by deep neural network has brought significant attentions in recent years. In many scenarios, the loss function is defined as an integral over a high-dimensional domain. Monte-Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Jingrun Chen , Rui Du , Panchi Li , Liyao Lyu

We derive and study SQMC (Sequential Quasi-Monte Carlo), a class of algorithms obtained by introducing QMC point sets in particle filtering. SQMC is related to, and may be seen as an extension of, the array-RQMC algorithm of L'Ecuyer et al.…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-01 Mathieu Gerber , Nicolas Chopin

We propose a novel approximate inference algorithm that approximates a target distribution by amortising the dynamics of a user-selected MCMC sampler. The idea is to initialise MCMC using samples from an approximation network, apply the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-23 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner , Qiang Liu

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for Gaussian approximations of intractable posteriors. Optimization-based approximations like variational inference can be too inaccurate while existing Monte Carlo methods can be too slow.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-04 Willem van den Boom , Andrea Cremaschi , Alexandre H. Thiery

We provide a general methodology for unbiased estimation for intractable stochastic models. We consider situations where the target distribution can be written as an appropriate limit of distributions, and where conventional approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Sergios Agapiou , Gareth O. Roberts , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Quasi-Monte Carlo (qMC) methods are a powerful alternative to classical Monte-Carlo (MC) integration. Under certain conditions, they can approximate the desired integral at a faster rate than the usual Central Limit Theorem, resulting in…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-22 Jean-Jacques Forneron

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a useful class of methods for Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is computationally intractable. In practice, the basic ABC algorithm may be inefficient in the presence of discrepancy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Stefano Cabras , Maria Eugenia Castellanos Nueda , Erlis Ruli

Recent advances in quasi-Monte Carlo integration have shown that for linearly scrambled digital net estimators, the convergence rate can be dramatically improved by taking the median rather than the mean of multiple independent replicates.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Zexin Pan

This paper proposes a new importance sampling (IS) that is tailored to quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration over $\mathbb{R}^s$. IS introduces a multiplicative adjustment to the integrand by compensating the sampling from the proposal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Zexin Pan , Du Ouyang , Zhijian He

Models with intractable normalizing functions have numerous applications. Because the normalizing constants are functions of the parameters of interest, standard Markov chain Monte Carlo cannot be used for Bayesian inference for these…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-21 Bokgyeong Kang , John Hughes , Murali Haran

Quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs)arise from stochastic processes that exhibit transient equilibrium behaviour on the way to absorption QSDs are often mathematically intractable and even drawing samples from them is not straightforward.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-18 Adam Griffin , Paul A. Jenkins , Gareth O. Roberts , Simon E. F. Spencer

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods offer a principled approach to Bayesian uncertainty quantification but are traditionally limited by the need for full-batch gradient evaluations. We introduce a scalable variant by incorporating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Andrew Millard , Zheng Zhao , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell

Bayesian data analysis is widely used across many disciplines, and representative examples in materials science include spectral analysis and sparse modeling. In such applications, the underlying models often become complex and yield…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Tomohiro Nabika , Kenji Nagata , Shun Katakami , Masaichiro Mizumaki , Masato Okada

We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-15 Jordan Franks

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

We consider the problem of estimating an expectation $ \mathbb{E}\left[ h(W)\right]$ by quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods, where $ h $ is an unbounded smooth function on $ \mathbb{R}^d $ and $ W$ is a standard normal distributed random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Du Ouyang , Xiaoqun Wang , Zhijian He

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Practitioners wishing to experience the efficiency gains from using low discrepancy sequences need correct, robust, well-written software. This article, based on our MCQMC 2020 tutorial, describes some of the better quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC)…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Sou-Cheng T. Choi , Fred J. Hickernell , R. Jagadeeswaran , Michael J. McCourt , Aleksei G. Sorokin

Sequential algorithms such as sequential importance sampling (SIS) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) have proven fundamental in Bayesian inference for models not admitting a readily available likelihood function. For approximate Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-08 Umberto Picchini , Massimiliano Tamborrino