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We present new sampling methods in finite population that allow to control the joint inclusion probabilities of units and especially the spreading of sampled units in the population. They are based on the use of renewal chains and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-12 Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité , Matthieu Wilhelm

Conjugate pairs of distributions over infinite dimensional spaces are prominent in statistical learning theory, particularly due to the widespread adoption of Bayesian nonparametric methodologies for a host of models and applications. Much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-12 Robert Finn , Brian Kulis

Consider an arbitrary large population at the present time, originated at an unspecified arbitrary large time in the past, where individuals in the same generation reproduce independently, forward in time, with the same offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Airam Blancas , Sandra Palau

We study a genealogical model for continuous-state branching processes with immigration with a (sub)critical branching mechanism. This model allows the immigrants to be on the same line of descent. The corresponding family tree is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-13 Thomas Duquesne

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is challenging due to non-stationarity, inter-variable dependencies, and distribution shifts. While recent diffusion and flow matching models have shown promise, they often ignore…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yanfeng Yang , Siwei Chen , Pingping Hu , Zhaotong Shen , Yingjie Zhang , Zhuoran Sun , Shuai Li , Ziqi Chen , Kenji Fukumizu

We show a first-order asymptotics result for the number of galled networks with $n$ leaves. This is the first class of phylogenetic networks of {\it large} size for which an asymptotic counting result of such strength can be obtained. In…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-10-06 Michael Fuchs , Guan-Ru Yu , Louxin Zhang

Consider a general branching process, a.k.a. Crump-Mode-Jagers process, generated by a perturbed random walk $\eta_1$, $\xi_1+\eta_2$, $\xi_1+\xi_2+\eta_3,\ldots$. Here, $(\xi_1,\eta_1)$, $(\xi_2, \eta_2),\ldots$ are independent identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Bohdan Rashytov

In this research, we present a generalized quasispecies model in which population growth is governed by an arbitrary nonlinear function incorporating time delays. We begin by demonstrating that, under the constant population constraint, the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nolbert Morales , Edward A. Turner

The purpose of this article is to study some asymptotic properties of the \Lambda-Wright-Fisher process with selection. This process represents the frequency of a disadvantaged allele. The resampling mechanism is governed by a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Clement Foucart

We consider a general, neutral, dynamical model of biodiversity. Individuals have i.i.d. lifetime durations, which are not necessarily exponentially distributed, and each individual gives birth independently at constant rate \lambda. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-02 Amaury Lambert

Recently a million of biological neurons (BNN) has turned out better from modern RL methods in playing Pong~\cite{RL}, reminding they are still qualitatively superior e.g. in learning, flexibility and robustness - suggesting to try to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Jarek Duda

We establish a general sufficient condition for a sequence of Galton Watson branching processes in varying environment to converge weakly. This condition extends previous results by allowing offspring distributions to have infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Vincent Bansaye , Florian Simatos

In this paper, we are interested in the asymptotic behaviour of the sequence of processes $(W_n(s,t))_{s,t\in[0,1]}$ with \begin{equation*} W_n(s,t):=\sum_{k=1}^{\lfloor nt\rfloor}\big(1_{\{\xi_{S_k}\leq s\}}-s\big) \end{equation*} where…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Francoise Pene , Martin Wendler

A population genetics model based on a multitype branching process, or equivalently a Galton-Watson branching process for multiple alleles, is pre- sented. The diffusion limit forward Kolmogorov equation is derived for the case of neutral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-21 Conrad J. Burden , Yi Wei

Various phenomenological models of particle multiplicity distributions are discussed using a general form of the grand canonical partition function. These phenomenological models include a wide range of varied processes such as coherent…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 S. J. Lee , A. Z. Mekjian

Population genetic processes, such as the adaptation of a quantitative trait to directional selection, may occur on longer time scales than the sweep of a single advantageous mutation. To study such processes in finite populations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Reinhard Bürger

Consider two different portfolios which have claims triggered by the same events. Their corresponding collective model over a fixed time period is given in terms of individual claim sizes $(X_i,Y_i), i\ge 1$ and a claim counting random…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Gildas Ratovomirija , Maissa Tamraz

This paper extends Edgeworth-Cornish-Fisher expansions for the distribution and quantiles of nonparametric estimates in two ways. Firstly it allows observations to have different distributions. Secondly it allows the observations to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-24 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn