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With growing amounts of wind and solar power in the electricity mix of many European countries, understanding and predicting variations of renewable energy generation at multiple timescales is crucial to ensure reliable electricity systems.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-08 Llorenç Lledó , Jaume Ramon , Albert Soret , Francisco-Javier Doblas-Reyes

A challenge for renewable and hybrid power systems is the dynamically stable integration of Renewable Energy Sources (RES). This paper specifically investigates the influence of intermittent RES and measurement delays from power electronic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-10 Sabine Auer , Tim Kittel

The fundamental frequency is one of the parameters that define power quality. Correctly determining this parameter under the conditions that prevail in modern power grids is crucial. Diagnostic purposes often require an efficient estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-26 Antonio Bracale , Pasquale De Falco , Piotr Kuwałek , Grzegorz Wiczyński

Self-organized network dynamics prevails for systems across physics, biology and engineering. How external signals generate distributed responses in networked systems fundamentally underlies their function, yet is far from fully understood.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-08-05 Xiaozhu Zhang , Sarah Hallerberg , Moritz Matthiae , Dirk Witthaut , Marc Timme

Accurate spectrum prediction is crucial for dynamic spectrum access (DSA) and resource allocation. However, due to the unique characteristics of spectrum data, existing methods based on the time or frequency domain often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yanghao Qin , Bo Zhou , Guangliang Pan , Qihui Wu , Meixia Tao

The dynamic response of power grids to small events or persistent stochastic disturbances influences their stable operation. Low-frequency inter-area oscillations are of particular concern due to insufficient damping. This paper studies the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Manish K. Singh , Vassilis Kekatos

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng

In the context of dynamic virtual power plants (DVPPs), the integration of frequency containment reserve (FCR) and fast frequency control (FFC) enabled via local compensation of power imbalance represents a significant advancement in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-10 Saif Ahmad , Seifeddine Ben Elghali , Hafiz Ahmed

Real power systems exhibit dynamics that evolve across a wide range of time scales, from very fast to very slow phenomena. Historically, incorporating these wide-ranging dynamics into a single model has been impractical. As a result, power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-29 Luis David Pabon Ospina , Martin Braun , Sushobhan Chatterjee , Sijia Geng

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a scaling analysis method used to quantify long-range power-law correlations in signals. Many physical and biological signals are ``noisy'', heterogeneous and exhibit different types of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi Chen , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Kun Hu , H. Eugene Stanley

Ensuring grid stability in the transition to renewable energy sources requires accurate power demand forecasting. This study addresses the need for precise forecasting by differentiating among industrial, commercial, and residential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Asier Diaz-Iglesias , Xabier Belaunzaran , Ane M. Florez-Tapia

Improvement in time resolution sometimes introduces short-range random noises into temporal data sequences. These noises affect the results of power-spectrum analyses and the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA). The DFA is one of useful…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-05 Shin-ichi Tadaki

The predictability of discrete-time processes is studied in a deterministic setting. A family of one-step-ahead predictors is suggested for processes of which the energy decays at higher frequencies. For such processes, the prediction error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Hidden interactions and components in complex systems-ranging from covert actors in terrorist networks to unobserved brain regions and molecular regulators-often manifest only through indirect behavioral signals. Inferring the underlying…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Xiaoxiao Liang , Tianlong Fan , Linyuan Lü

Detrend fluctuation analysis (DFA) has become a choice method for effective analysis of a broad variety of nonstationary signals. We show in the present article that, provided the nonstationary fluctuations occur at a large enough time…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Luciano da Fontoura Costa , Ruth Caldeira de Melo , Ester da Silva , Audrey Borghi-Silva , Aparecida Maria Catai

This paper addresses the difficulty of characterizing the time-varying nature of fading channels. The current time-invariant models often fall short of capturing and tracking these dynamic characteristics. To overcome this limitation, we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-22 Eya Ben Amar , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raul Tempone , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Electric power systems are undergoing fundamental change. The shift to inverter-based generation challenges frequency stability, while growing digitalisation heightens vulnerability to errors and attacks. Here we identify an emerging risk…

Deploying machine learning models in safety-related do-mains (e.g. autonomous driving, medical diagnosis) demands for approaches that are explainable, robust against adversarial attacks and aware of the model uncertainty. Recent deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Jan Kronenberger , Anselm Haselhoff

The rising demand of computing power leads to the installation of a large number of Data Centers (DCs). Their Fault-Ride-Through (FRT) behavior and their unique power characteristics, especially for DCs catered to Artificial Intelligence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-23 Alberto Jimenez-Ruiz , Federico Milano
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