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Renewable energy power is influenced by the atmospheric system, which exhibits nonlinear and time-varying features. To address this, a dynamic temporal correlation modeling framework is proposed for renewable energy scenario generation. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Xiaochong Dong , Yilin Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

Renewable energy projects, such as large offshore wind farms, are critical to achieving low-emission targets set by governments. Stochastic computer models allow us to explore future scenarios to aid decision making whilst considering the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Jack C. Kennedy , Daniel A. Henderson , Kevin J. Wilson

In the context of the rising share of new energy generation, accurately generating new energy output scenarios is crucial for day-ahead power system scheduling. Deep learning-based scenario generation methods can address this need, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Changgang Wang , Wei Liu , Yu Cao , Dong Liang , Yang Li , Jingshan Mo

We provide a condition monitoring system for wind farms, based on normal behaviour modelling using a probabilistic multi-layer perceptron with transfer learning via fine-tuning. The model predicts the output power of the wind turbine under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Filippo Fiocchi , Domna Ladopoulou , Petros Dellaportas

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

Applying probability-related knowledge to accurately explore and exploit the inherent uncertainty of wind power output is one of the key issues that need to be solved urgently in the development of smart grid. This letter develops an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-19 Libao Shi , Yang Pan , Yixin Ni

Load forecasting is an integral part of power system operations and planning. Due to the increasing penetration of rooftop PV, electric vehicles and demand response applications, forecasting the load of individual and a small group of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-19 Ling Zhang , Baosen Zhang

We present a method to generate renewable scenarios using Bayesian probabilities by implementing the Bayesian generative adversarial network~(Bayesian GAN), which is a variant of generative adversarial networks based on two interconnected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Pan Li , Baosen Zhang

A plant growth simulation can be characterized as a reconstructed visual representation of a plant or plant system. The phenotypic characteristics and plant structures are controlled by the scene environment and other contextual attributes.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Mohamed Debbagh , Yixue Liu , Zhouzhou Zheng , Xintong Jiang , Shangpeng Sun , Mark Lefsrud

Wind energy is becoming an increasingly crucial component of a sustainable grid, but its inherent variability and limited predictability present challenges for grid operators. The energy sector needs novel forecasting techniques that can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-05 Zheng Dong , Hanyu Zhang , Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie , Pascal Van Hentenryck

This paper studies the generation and transmission expansion co-optimization problem with a high wind power penetration rate in large-scale power grids. In this paper, generation and transmission expansion co-optimization is modeled as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Shutang You

We study the scenario approach for solving chance-constrained optimization in time-coupled dynamic environments. Scenario generation methods approximate the true feasible region from scenarios generated independently and identically from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Apurv Shukla , Qian Zhang , Le Xie

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

A space-time model for wind fields is proposed. It aims at simulating realistic wind conditions with a focus on reproducing the space-time motions of the meteorological systems. A Gaussian linear state-space model is used where the latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-20 Julie Bessac , Pierre Ailliot , Valerie Monbet

Scenario-based testing is becoming increasingly important in safety assurance for automated driving. However, comprehensive and sufficiently complete coverage of the scenario space requires significant effort and resources if using only…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Christoph Glasmacher , Michael Schuldes , Hendrik Weber , Nicolas Wagener , Lutz Eckstein

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

Wind turbines located in wind farms are operated to maximize only their own power production. Individual operation results in wake losses that reduce farm energy. In this study, we operate a wind turbine array collectively to maximize total…

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu