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The accuracy of probability distributions inferred using machine-learning algorithms heavily depends on data availability and quality. In practical applications it is therefore fundamental to investigate the robustness of a statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Christiane Goergen , Manuele Leonelli

In a recent one-dimensional numerical fluid simulation study [Saxena et al., Phys. Plasmas 13,032309 (2006)], it was found that an instability is associated with a special class of one-dimensional nonlinear solutions for modulated light…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2008-09-12 Vikrant Saxena , Amita Das , Sudip Sengupta , Predhiman Kaw , Abhijit Sen

In clusters of galaxies, the specific entropy of intracluster plasma increases outwards. Nevertheless, a number of recent studies have shown that the intracluster medium is subject to buoyancy instabilities due to the effects of cosmic rays…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Yann Rasera , Benjamin Chandran

This review presents an upgraded wave theory adapted to the high fluctuation level of driven realistic i.e. non-idealized plasmas. Above all, this means giving up the well-known concept of a linear wave theory in favor of a thoroughly…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 Hans Schamel

Eigenvalue analysis is a well-established tool for stability analysis of dynamical systems. However, there are situations where eigenvalues miss some important features of physical models. For example, in models of incompressible fluid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Howard C. Elman , David J. Silvester

Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are pivotal tools that synthesize knowledge from climate science, economics, and policy to evaluate the interactions between human activities and the climate system. They serve as essential instruments…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-04 Yongyang Cai

Numerical simulators are widely used to model physical phenomena and global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims at studying the global impact of the input uncertainties on the simulator output. To perform GSA, statistical tools based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Anouar Meynaoui , Amandine Marrel , Béatrice Laurent

Weakly collisional space plasmas are rarely in local thermal equilibrium and often exhibit non-Maxwellian electron and ion velocity distributions that lead to the growth of microinstabilities, that is, enhanced electric and magnetic fields…

Explicit quantification of uncertainty in engineering simulations is being increasingly used to inform robust and reliable design practices. In the aerospace industry, computationally-feasible analyses for design optimization purposes often…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-13 Jayant Mukhopadhaya , Brian T. Whitehead , John F. Quindlen , Juan J. Alonso

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Alexandre Janon , Thierry Klein , Agnes Lagnoux-Renaudie , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

Geostatistical seismic inversion is commonly used to infer the spatial distribution of the subsurface petro-elastic properties by perturbing the model parameter space through iterative stochastic sequential simulations/co-simulations. The…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-19 Leonardo Azevedo , Vasily Demyanov

Understanding and accounting for uncertainty helps to ensure next-step tokamaks such as SPARC will robustly achieve their goals. While traditional Plasma OPerating CONtour (POPCON) analyses guide design, they often overlook the significant…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 A. Saltzman , P. Rodriguez-Fernandez , T. Body , A. Ho , N. T. Howard

Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

Spatial dynamic microsimulations probabilistically project geographically referenced units with individual characteristics over time. Like any projection method, their outcomes are inherently uncertain and sensitive to multiple factors.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Morgane Dumont , Ahmed Alsaloum , Julian Ernst , Jan Weymeirsch , Ralf Münnich

Gaussian Process (GP) models have also become extremely useful for optimization under uncertainty algorithms, especially where the objective functions are costly to compute. Yet, the more classical methods usually adopt strategies that, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Nishant Gadde

Dynamical modelling lies at the heart of our understanding of physical systems. Its role in science is deeper than mere operational forecasting, in that it allows us to evaluate the adequacy of the mathematical structure of our models.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

Many engineering systems are subject to spatially distributed uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty that can be modeled as a random field. Altering the mean or covariance of this uncertainty will in general change the statistical distribution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-09 Eric Dow , Qiqi Wang

Development of new multiscale mathematical models often entails considerable complexity and multiple undetermined parameters, typically arising from closure relations. To enable reliable simulations, one must quantify how uncertain physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Linheng Ruan , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Iryna Rybak

To meet the demands of instantaneous control of instabilities over long time horizons in plasma fusion, we design a dynamic feedback control strategy for the Vlasov-Poisson system by constructing an operator that maps state perturbations to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Jingcheng Lu , Li Wang , Jeff Calder

Recently, a novel linear model predictive control algorithm based on a physics-informed Gaussian Process has been introduced, whose realizations strictly follow a system of underlying linear ordinary differential equations with constant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Adrian Lepp , Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow