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In this article, we propose a factor-adjusted multiple testing (FAT) procedure based on factor-adjusted p-values in a linear factor model involving some observable and unobservable factors, for the purpose of selecting skilled funds in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-04 Wei Lan , Lilun Du

In this article, we address the challenge of identifying skilled mutual funds among a large pool of candidates, utilizing the linear factor pricing model. Assuming observable factors with a weak correlation structure for the idiosyncratic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Hongfei Wang , Long Feng , Ping Zhao , Zhaojun Wang

Large-scale multiple testing under static factor models is widely used to detect sparse signals in high-dimensional data. However, static factor models are arguably too stringent because they ignore serial correlation, which seriously…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Xinxin Yang , Lilun Du

We consider the problem of sequential multiple hypothesis testing with nontrivial data collection costs. This problem appears, for example, when conducting biological experiments to identify differentially expressed genes of a disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Thomas Cook , Harsh Vardhan Dubey , Ji Ah Lee , Guangyu Zhu , Tingting Zhao , Patrick Flaherty

We propose an adaptive sampling approach for multiple testing which aims to maximize statistical power while ensuring anytime false discovery control. We consider $n$ distributions whose means are partitioned by whether they are below or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-18 Kevin Jamieson , Lalit Jain

Multiple testing plagues many important questions in finance such as fund and factor selection. We propose a new way to calibrate both Type I and Type II errors. Next, using a double-bootstrap method, we establish a t-statistic hurdle that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-09 Campbell R. Harvey , Yan Liu

Testing cross-sectional independence in panel data models is of fundamental importance in econometric analysis with high-dimensional panels. Recently, econometricians began to turn their attention to the problem in the presence of serial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Hongfei Wang , Binghui Liu , Long Feng , Yanyuan Ma

Stability selection is a popular method for improving feature selection algorithms. One of its key attributes is that it provides theoretical upper bounds on the expected number of false positives, E(FP), enabling false positive control in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Omar Melikechi , Jeffrey W. Miller

Online testing procedures assume that hypotheses are observed in sequence, and allow the significance thresholds for upcoming tests to depend on the test statistics observed so far. Some of the most popular online methods include alpha…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-11 Aaron Fisher

This paper studies how insurers can chose which claims to investigate for fraud. Given a prediction model, typically only claims with the highest predicted propability of being fraudulent are investigated. We argue that this can lead to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-24 Christos Revelas , Otilia Boldea , Bas J. M. Werker

Large-scale multiple testing with correlated and heavy-tailed data arises in a wide range of research areas from genomics, medical imaging to finance. Conventional methods for estimating the false discovery proportion (FDP) often ignore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Ke , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

The highly influential two-group model in testing a large number of statistical hypotheses assumes that the test statistics are drawn independently from a mixture of a high probability null distribution and a low probability alternative.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Ruth Heller , Saharon Rosset

Modern statistical analyses often involve testing large numbers of hypotheses. In many situations, these hypotheses may have an underlying tree structure that not only helps determine the order that tests should be conducted but also…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Yunxiao Li , Yi-Juan Hu , Glen A. Satten

Large-scale multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional statistical inference. It is increasingly common that various types of auxiliary information, reflecting the structural relationship among the hypotheses, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Jun Chen , Xianyang Zhang

We presented Bayesian portfolio selection strategy, via the $k$ factor asset pricing model. If the market is information efficient, the proposed strategy will mimic the market; otherwise, the strategy will outperform the market. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Sourish Das , Rituparna Sen

Machine learning has automated much of financial fraud detection, notifying firms of, or even blocking, questionable transactions instantly. However, data imbalance starves traditionally trained models of the content necessary to detect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Samuel Showalter , Zhixin Wu

Multiple hypothesis testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional inference, with wide applications in many scientific fields. In genome-wide association studies, tens of thousands of tests are performed simultaneously to find if any…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-16 Jianqing Fan , Xu Han , Weijie Gu

We study online multiple testing with feedback, where decisions are made sequentially and the true state of the hypothesis is revealed after the decision has been made, either instantly or with a delay. We propose GAIF, a feedback-enhanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Lin Lu , Yuyang Huo , Haojie Ren , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

We consider a multi-hypothesis testing problem involving a K-armed bandit. Each arm's signal follows a distribution from a vector exponential family. The actual parameters of the arms are unknown to the decision maker. The decision maker…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Gayathri R Prabhu , Srikrishna Bhashyam , Aditya Gopalan , Rajesh Sundaresan

We develop a new class of distribution--free multiple testing rules for false discovery rate (FDR) control under general dependence. A key element in our proposal is a symmetrized data aggregation (SDA) approach to incorporating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Lilun Du , Xu Guo , Wenguang Sun , Changliang Zou
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