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Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

Traffic state prediction in a transportation network is paramount for effective traffic operations and management, as well as informed user and system-level decision-making. However, long-term traffic prediction (beyond 30 minutes into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Bin Lei , Shaoyi Huang , Caiwen Ding , Monika Filipovska

Traffic flow forecasting is considered a critical task in the field of intelligent transportation systems. In this paper, to address the issue of low accuracy in long-term forecasting of spatial-temporal big data on traffic flow, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Baichao Long , Wang Zhu , Jianli Xiao

In flood disasters, decision-makers have to rapidly prioritise the areas that need assistance based on a high volume of information. While approaches that combine GIS with Bayesian networks are generally effective in integrating multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-24 Moritz Schneider , Lukas Halekotte , Tina Comes , Frank Fiedrich

Speeding has been acknowledged as a critical determinant in increasing the risk of crashes and their resulting injury severities. This paper demonstrates that severe speeding-related crashes within the state of Pennsylvania have a spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-22 Renteng Yuan , Qiaojun Xiang , Zhiheng Fang , Xin Gu

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Geethan Sannidhi , Chidaksh Ravuru , Venkataramana Runkana

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- hierarchical structure, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical branching diffusion with…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-02 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Sayaka Olsen , Ilya Zaliapin

This paper presents a novel approach in wildfire prediction through the integration of multisource spatiotemporal data, including satellite data, and the application of deep learning techniques. Specifically, we utilize an ensemble model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

As the development of cities, traffic congestion becomes an increasingly pressing issue, and traffic prediction is a classic method to relieve that issue. Traffic prediction is one specific application of spatio-temporal prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Maoxiang Sun , Weilong Ding , Tianpu Zhang , Zijian Liu , Mengda Xing

Reliable anticipation of traffic accidents is essential for advancing autonomous driving systems. However, this objective is limited by two fundamental challenges: the scarcity of diverse, high-quality training data and the frequent absence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Yanchen Guan , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Xingcheng Liu , Jiaxun Zhang , Zhenning Li

This paper proposes an onboard advance warning system based on a probabilistic prediction model that advises vehicles on when to change lanes for an upcoming lane drop. Using several traffic- and driver-related parameters such as the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-19 Goodarz Mehr , Azim Eskandarian

In this study, two mathematical models have been developed for assigning emergency vehicles, namely ambulances, to geographical areas. The first model, which is based on the assignment problem, the ambulance transfer (moving ambulances)…

Although spatial prediction is widely used for urban and environmental monitoring, its accuracy is often unsatisfactory if only a small number of samples are available in the study area. The objective of this study was to improve the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita

Resource allocation under uncertainty is a classical problem in city-scale cyber-physical systems. Consider emergency response as an example; urban planners and first responders optimize the location of ambulances to minimize expected…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Geoffrey Pettet , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Abhishek Dubey

This research showcases the innovative integration of Large Language Models into machine learning workflows for traffic incident management, focusing on the classification of incident severity using accident reports. By leveraging features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Artur Grigorev , Khaled Saleh , Yuming Ou , Adriana-Simona Mihaita

Accident detection is a vital part of traffic safety. Many road users suffer from traffic accidents, as well as their consequences such as delay, congestion, air pollution, and so on. In this study, we utilize two advanced deep learning…

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

This study investigates the predictive capacity of environmental, temporal, and spatial factors on traffic accident severity in the United States. Using a dataset of 500,000 U.S. traffic accidents spanning 2016-2023, we trained an XGBoost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Yann Bellec , Rohan Kaman , Siwen Cui , Aarav Agrawal , Calvin Chen

Although aviation accidents are rare, safety incidents occur more frequently and require a careful analysis to detect and mitigate risks in a timely manner. Analyzing safety incidents using operational data and producing event-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Vijay Manikandan Janakiraman