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We consider a multi-population epidemic model with one or more (almost) isolated communities and one mobile community. Each of the isolated communities has contact within itself and, in addition, contact with the outside world but only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Akhil P. T. , Eitan Altman , Rajesh Sundaresan

Contact networks can significantly change the course of epidemics, affecting the rate of new infections and the mean size of an outbreak. Despite this dependence, some characteristics of epidemics are not contingent on the contact network…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alexander Gutfraind

We study metapopulation models for the spread of epidemics in which different subpopulations (cities) are connected by fluxes of individuals (travelers). This framework allows to describe the spread of a disease on a large scale and we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-03-20 Aurelien Gautreau , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy

In spite of the study of epidemic dynamics on single-layer networks has received considerable attention, the epidemic dynamics on multiplex networks is still limited and is facing many challenges. In this work, we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-03 Huan Wang , Chuang Ma , Hanshuang Chen , Haifeng Zhang

Our chances to halt epidemic outbreaks rely on how accurately we represent the population structure underlying the disease spread. When analyzing global epidemics this force us to consider metapopulation models taking into account intra-…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-10 Alexei Vazquez

During infectious disease epidemics, pathogen transmission occurs in host populations made up of interacting subpopulations. Using stochastic simulation and analytical approximations, we examine how outbreak sizes in networked populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Makoto Ueki , Robin N. Thompson , Murad Banaji

The patterns of human mobility play a key role in the spreading of infectious diseases and thus represent a key ingredient of epidemic modeling and forecasting. Unfortunately, as the Covid-19 pandemic has dramatically highlighted, for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-28 Antonio Desiderio , Giulio Cimini , Gaetano Salina

Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving epidemic control policies, but may be hindered by incomplete…

In this paper, we propose and analyze a reaction-diffusion susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic patch model. The individuals are assumed to reside in different patches, where they are able to move inside and among the patches.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-18 Shanshan Chen , Yixiang Wu

In this paper, we use a series of small world networks to simulate the epidemic spreading in the real world. To make our model more similar to the real world, we employ a parameter $p_{move}$ to denote its moving probability, which…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Sheng Li , Meng Meng , Hongru Ma

In the study of epidemic dynamics a fundamental question is whether a pathogen initially affecting only one individual will give rise to a limited outbreak or to a widespread pandemic. The answer to this question crucially depends not only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-12 Alfredo De Bellis , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano

The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

Understanding the dynamics of computer virus (malware, worm) in cyberspace is an important problem that has attracted a fair amount of attention. Early investigations for this purpose adapted biological epidemic models, and thus inherited…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-25 Shouhuai Xu , Wenlian Lu , Li Xu

We study the spread of a simulated epidemic in a network of individuals who may either contract a disease through sexual contact with an infected nearest neighbor or use safe sex practices under the influence of neighbors who are already…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-25 Paolo Grigolini , David Lambert , Korosh Mahmoodi , Nicola Piccinini

Efficient techniques to navigate networks with local information are fundamental to sample large-scale online social systems and to retrieve resources in peer-to-peer systems. Biased random walks, i.e. walks whose motion is biased on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-29 Federico Battiston , Vincenzo Nicosia , Vito Latora

We show how one can trace in a systematic way the coarse-grained solutions of individual-based stochastic epidemic models evolving on heterogeneous complex networks with respect to their topological characteristics. In particular, we have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andreas I. Reppas , Konstantinos Spiliotis , Constantinos Siettos

This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

We propose an efficient strategy to suppress epidemic explosion in heterogeneous metapopulation networks, wherein each node represents a subpopulation with any number of individuals and is assigned a curing rate that is proportional to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-15 Chuansheng Shen , Hanshuang Chen , Zhonghuai Hou

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini