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We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

The Importance Markov chain is a novel algorithm bridging the gap between rejection sampling and importance sampling, moving from one to the other through a tuning parameter. Based on a modified sample of an instrumental Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-27 Charly Andral , Randal Douc , Hugo Marival , Christian P. Robert

Branching processes are classical growth models in cell kinetics. In their construction, it is usually assumed that cell lifetimes are independent random variables, which has been proved false in experiments. Models of dependent lifetimes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-02 Sana Louhichi , Bernard Ycart

We consider a Markov chain of point processes such that each state is a super position of an independent cluster process with the previous state as its centre process together with some independent noise process. The model extends earlier…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Jesper Møller , Andreas D. Christoffersen

The aim of this paper is to study the fluctuations of a general class of supercritical branching Markov processes with non-local branching mechanisms. We show the existence of three regimes according to the size of the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we consider general Markov chains (MC), specified by the transition probability (kernel) $ P (x, E) $, finitely additive in the second argument. Such MC are studied within the framework of the functional operator treatment.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Alexander Zhdanok , Anna Khuruma

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

This paper introduces ergodic-risk criteria, which capture long-term cumulative risks associated with controlled Markov chains through probabilistic limit theorems--in contrast to existing methods that require assumptions of either finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Shahriar Talebi , Na Li

Stochastic gene regulatory networks with bursting dynamics can be modeled mesocopically as a generalized density-dependent Markov chain (GDDMC) or macroscopically as a piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP). Here we prove a limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Xian Chen , Chen Jia

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

The aim of this note is to investigate the concentration properties of unbounded functions of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. We derive concentration properties of centered functions with respect to the square of the Lyapunov's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Olivier Wintenberger

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

We prove the annealed Central Limit Theorem for random walks in bistochastic random environments on $Z^d$ with zero local drift. The proof is based on a "dynamicist's interpretation" of the system, and requires a much weaker condition than…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-22 Marco Lenci

A sharp version of the Central Limit Theorem for linear combinations of iterates of an inner function is proved. The authors previously showed this result assuming a suboptimal condition on the coefficients of the linear combination. Here…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Artur Nicolau , Odí Soler i Gibert

In this note, we study a condition introduced by Gordin and Lif{\v s}ic in 1981 to establish the Central Limit Theorem for additive functionals of stationary Markov chains with normal transition operator. In the more general setting of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jèrôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède