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We investigate the problem of sampling from posterior distributions with intractable normalizing constants in Bayesian inference. Our solution is a new generative modeling approach based on optimal transport (OT) that learns a deterministic…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ke Li , Wei Han , Yuexi Wang , Yun Yang

Semidiscrete optimal transport is a challenging generalization of the classical transportation problem in linear programming. The goal is to design a joint distribution for two random variables (one continuous, one discrete) with fixed…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-22 Yinchu Zhu , Ilya O. Ryzhov

Inference-time scaling methods rely on Process Reward Models (PRMs), which are often poorly calibrated and overestimate success probabilities. We propose, to our knowledge, the first use of conditional optimal transport for calibrating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Rachel Ma , Dylan Hadfield-Menell , Kristjan Greenewald

In recent years, two prominent paradigms have shaped distributionally robust optimization (DRO), modeling distributional ambiguity through $\phi$-divergences and Wasserstein distances, respectively. While the former focuses on ambiguity in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Jose Blanchet , Daniel Kuhn , Jiajin Li , Bahar Taskesen

We obtain distribution-free bounds for various fundamental quantities used in probability theory by solving optimization problems that search for extreme distributions among all distributions with the same mean and dispersion. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Pieter Kleer , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden , Bas Verseveldt

The martingale expansion provides a refined approximation to the marginal distributions of martingales beyond the normal approximation implied by the martingale central limit theorem. We develop a martingale expansion framework specifically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Masaaki Fukasawa

We derive limit distributions for certain empirical regularized optimal transport distances between probability distributions supported on a finite metric space and show consistency of the (naive) bootstrap. In particular, we prove that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Marcel Klatt , Carla Tameling , Axel Munk

We study estimators of the optimal transport (OT) map between two probability distributions. We focus on plugin estimators derived from the OT map between estimates of the underlying distributions. We develop novel stability bounds for OT…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Tudor Manole

We develop a method to solve, theoretically and numerically, general optimal stopping problems. Our general setting allows for multiple exercise rights, i.e., optimal multiple stopping, for a robust evaluation that accounts for model…

Optimal transport distances have become a classic tool to compare probability distributions and have found many applications in machine learning. Yet, despite recent algorithmic developments, their complexity prevents their direct use on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-07 Kilian Fatras , Younes Zine , Szymon Majewski , Rémi Flamary , Rémi Gribonval , Nicolas Courty

In this paper, we look into the minimum obstacle displacement (MOD) planning problem from a mobile robot motion planning perspective. This problem finds an optimal path to goal by displacing movable obstacles when no path exists due to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Antony Thomas , Giulio Ferro , Fulvio Mastrogiovanni , Michela Robba

Recently, a growing amount interest is quite evident in modelling dependent competing risks in life time prognosis problem. In this work, we propose to model the dependent competing risks by Marshal-Olkin bivariate exponential distribution.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-13 Shuvashree Mondal , Shanya Baghel

The Optimal transport (OT) problem is rapidly finding its way into machine learning. Favoring its use are its metric properties. Many problems admit solutions with guarantees only for objects embedded in metric spaces, and the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Liang Mi , Azadeh Sheikholeslami , José Bento

An adaptive, adversarial methodology is developed for the optimal transport problem between two distributions $\mu$ and $\nu$, known only through a finite set of independent samples $(x_i)_{i=1..N}$ and $(y_j)_{j=1..M}$. The methodology…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Montacer Essid , Debra Laefer , Esteban G. Tabak

A notorious problem in queueing theory is to compute the worst possible performance of the GI/G/1 queue under mean-dispersion constraints for the interarrival and service time distributions. We address this extremal queue problem by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a widely used framework for optimizing objective functionals in the presence of both randomness and model-form uncertainty. A key step in the practical solution of many DRO problems is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Jeremiah Birrell

The optimal control of a mechanical system is of crucial importance in many realms. Typical examples are the determination of a time-minimal path in vehicle dynamics, a minimal energy trajectory in space mission design, or optimal motion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-10-09 S. Ober-Bloebaum , O. Junge , J. E. Marsden

This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the impact of model misspecification when computing general expected values of interest. The methodology that we propose is applicable in great generality, in particular, we provide examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Speculative sampling reduces the latency of autoregressive decoding for target model LLMs without sacrificing inference quality, by using a cheap draft model to suggest a candidate token and a verification criterion to accept or resample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Rahul Krishna Thomas , Arka Pal

In this study we analyze linear mixed-integer programming problems, in which the distribution of the cost vector is only observable through a finite training data set. In contrast to the related studies, we assume that the number of random…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Sergey S. Ketkov , Andrei S. Shilov
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