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Computational analysis of time-course data with an underlying causal structure is needed in a variety of domains, including neural spike trains, stock price movements, and gene expression levels. However, it can be challenging to determine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Bud Mishra

We aim to mine temporal causal sequences that explain observed events (consequents) in time-series traces. Causal explanations of key events in a time-series has applications in design debugging, anomaly detection, planning, root-cause…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Antonio Anastasio Bruto da Costa , Pallab Dasgupta

We consider one of the most basic multiple testing problems that compares expectations of multivariate data among several groups. As a test statistic, a conventional (approximate) $t$-statistic is considered, and we determine its rejection…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Satoshi Kuriki , Toshihiko Shiroishi , Toyoyuki Takada

Previous studies indicate that nonlinear properties of Gaussian time series with long-range correlations, $u_i$, can be detected and quantified by studying the correlations in the magnitude series $|u_i|$, i.e., the ``volatility''. However,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Tomer Kalisky , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

The partial correlation coefficient is a commonly used measure to assess the conditional dependence between two random variables. We provide a thorough explanation of the partial copula, which is a natural generalization of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

This paper proposes a new statistic to test independence between two high dimensional random vectors ${\mathbf{X}}:p_1\times1$ and ${\mathbf{Y}}:p_2\times1$. The proposed statistic is based on the sum of regularized sample canonical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yanrong Yang , Guangming Pan

Entries of datasets are often collected only if an event occurred: taking a survey, enrolling in an experiment and so forth. However, such partial samples bias classical correlation estimators. Here we show how to correct for such sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-05 P-A. G. Maugis

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

The presence of significant cross-correlations between the synchronous time evolution of a pair of equity returns is a well-known empirical fact. The Pearson correlation is commonly used to indicate the level of similarity in the price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-07 Dror Y. Kenett , Xuqing Huang , Irena Vodenska , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

We define causal estimands for experiments on single time series, extending the potential outcome framework to dealing with temporal data. Our approach allows the estimation of some of these estimands and exact randomization based p-values…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-17 Iavor Bojinov , Neil Shephard

There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Wicher Bergsma

Correlations between spacelike separated measurements on entangled quantum systems are stronger than any classical correlations and are at the heart of numerous quantum technologies. In practice, however, spacelike separation is often not…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-11-28 Martin Ringbauer , Rafael Chaves

Efficient estimation under bias sampling, censoring or truncation is a difficult question which has been partially answered and the usual estimators are not always consistent. Several biased designs are considered for models with variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-22 Odile Pons

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick

We describe a method for inferring linear causal relations among multi-dimensional variables. The idea is to use an asymmetry between the distributions of cause and effect that occurs if both the covariance matrix of the cause and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-09-25 Dominik Janzing , Patrik O. Hoyer , Bernhard Schoelkopf

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

The creativity and emergence of biological and psychological behavior are nonlinear. However, that does not necessarily mean only that the measurements of the behaviors are curvilinear. Furthermore, the linear model might fail to reduce…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-28 Damian G. Kelty-Stephen , Elizabeth Lane , Madhur Mangalam

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Gabriela Ciuperca

The Bell inequalities in three and four correlations are re-derived in general forms showing that three and four data sets, respectively, identically satisfy them regardless of whether they are random, deterministic, measured, predicted, or…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Louis Sica

This paper considers the problem of testing temporal homogeneity of $p$-dimensional population mean vectors from the repeated measurements of $n$ subjects over $T$ times. To cope with the challenges brought by high-dimensional longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-29 Ping-Shou Zhong , Jun Li
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