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Although recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are state-of-the-art in numerous sequential decision-making tasks, there has been little research on explaining their predictions. In this work, we present TimeSHAP, a model-agnostic recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 João Bento , Pedro Saleiro , André F. Cruz , Mário A. T. Figueiredo , Pedro Bizarro

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

A constant rebalanced portfolio is an asset allocation algorithm which keeps the same distribution of wealth among a set of assets along a period of time. Recently, there has been work on on-line portfolio selection algorithms which are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-01 Yoram Singer

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Many large-scale production networks include thousands types of final products and tens to hundreds thousands types of raw materials and intermediate products. These networks face complicated inventory management decisions, which are often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Tan Wan , L. Jeff Hong

In this paper we propose a deep recurrent architecture for the probabilistic modelling of high-frequency market prices, important for the risk management of automated trading systems. Our proposed architecture incorporates probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

An increasing number of software applications incorporate runtime Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to process sensor data and return inference results to humans. Effective deployment of DNNs in these interactive scenarios requires meeting…

Performance · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Chengcheng Wan , Muhammad Santriaji , Eri Rogers , Henry Hoffmann , Michael Maire , Shan Lu

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) were recently proposed for the session-based recommendation task. The models showed promising improvements over traditional recommendation approaches. In this work, we further study RNN-based models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-19 Yong Kiam Tan , Xinxing Xu , Yong Liu

Classical portfolio optimization often requires forecasting asset returns and their corresponding variances in spite of the low signal-to-noise ratio provided in the financial markets. Modern deep reinforcement learning (DRL) offers a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Alessio Brini , Daniele Tantari

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Recommender systems objectives can be broadly characterized as modeling user preferences over short-or long-term time horizon. A large body of previous research studied long-term recommendation through dimensionality reduction techniques…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Kiewan Villatel , Elena Smirnova , Jérémie Mary , Philippe Preux

In general, traders test their trading strategies by applying them on the historical market data (backtesting), and then apply to the future trades the strategy that achieved the maximum profit on such past data. In this paper, we propose a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-24 Ivan Letteri , Giuseppe Della Penna , Giovanni De Gasperis , Abeer Dyoub

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

Dynamic hedging is the practice of periodically transacting financial instruments to offset the risk caused by an investment or a liability. Dynamic hedging optimization can be framed as a sequential decision problem; thus, Reinforcement…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Andrei Neagu , Frédéric Godin , Clarence Simard , Leila Kosseim

Cryptocurrency is a form of digital currency using cryptographic techniques in a decentralized system for secure peer-to-peer transactions. It is gaining much popularity over traditional methods of payments because it facilitates a very…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Samyak Jain , Sarthak Johari , Radhakrishnan Delhibabu

A data-driven approach called CaNN (Calibration Neural Network) is proposed to calibrate financial asset price models using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Determining optimal values of the model parameters is formulated as training…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-03 Shuaiqiang Liu , Anastasia Borovykh , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa