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We study causal inference for time-to-event outcomes under right censoring in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Focusing on structural accelerated failure time models, we develop an identification and inference framework that exploits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Qiushi Bu , Wen Su , Xinyu Zhang , Xingqiu Zhao , Zhonghua Liu

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

Time series classification (TSC) aims to predict the class label of a given time series, which is critical to a rich set of application areas such as economics and medicine. State-of-the-art TSC methods have mostly focused on classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Nestor Cabello , Elham Naghizade , Jianzhong Qi , Lars Kulik

Visualization is a key aspect of communicating the results of any study aiming to estimate causal effects. In studies with time-to-event outcomes, the most popular visualization approach is depicting survival curves stratified by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-07 Robin Denz , Nina Timmesfeld

In clinical or epidemiological follow-up studies, methods based on time scale indicators such as the restricted mean survival time (RMST) have been developed to some extent. Compared with traditional hazard rate indicator system methods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-26 Chengfeng Zhang , Hongji Wu , Baoyi Huang , Hao Yuan , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Functional survival models are key tools for analyzing time-to-event data with complex predictors, such as functional or high-dimensional inputs. Despite their predictive strength, these models often lack interpretability, which limits…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-28 Giuseppe Loffredo , Elvira Romano , Fabrizio MAturo

We propose a novel tree-based ensemble method named Selective Cascade of Residual ExtraTrees (SCORE). SCORE draws inspiration from representation learning, incorporates regularized regression with variable selection features, and utilizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Qimin Liu , Fang Liu

In this paper, we propose the use of causal inference techniques for survival function estimation and prediction for subgroups of the data, upto individual units. Tree ensemble methods, specifically random forests were modified for this…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-23 Vikas Ramachandra

The Hazard Ratio (HR) is often reported as the main causal effect when studying survival data. Despite its popularity, the HR suffers from an unclear causal interpretation. As already pointed out in the literature, there is a built-in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Rachel Axelrod , Daniel Nevo

This paper provides a comprehensive review of the design and implementation of automatically generated assessment reports (AutoRs) for formative use in K-12 Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) classrooms. With the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Ehsan Latif , Ying Chen , Xiaoming Zhai , Yue Yin

In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

Predicting crash events is crucial for understanding crash distributions and their contributing factors, thereby enabling the design of proactive traffic safety policy interventions. However, existing methods struggle to interpret the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Yang Zhao , Pu Wang , Yibo Zhao , Hongru Du , Hao Frank Yang

Estimating risks or survival probabilities conditional on individual characteristics based on censored time-to-event data is a commonly faced task. This may be for the purpose of developing a prediction model or may be part of a wider…

Synthetic data is becoming an increasingly promising technology, and successful applications can improve privacy, fairness, and data democratization. While there are many methods for generating synthetic tabular data, the task remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Alexander Norcliffe , Bogdan Cebere , Fergus Imrie , Pietro Lio , Mihaela van der Schaar

A Verbal Autopsy is the record of an interview about the circumstances of an uncertified death. In developing countries, if a death occurs away from health facilities, a field-worker interviews a relative of the deceased about the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2014-02-19 Samuel Danso , Eric Atwell , Owen Johnson

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems increasingly match or surpass human experts in biomedical signal interpretation. However, their effective integration into clinical practice requires more than high predictive accuracy. Clinicians must…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Stefan Kraft , Andreas Theissler , Vera Wienhausen-Wilke , Gjergji Kasneci , Hendrik Lensch

Recent progress in autonomous code generation has fueled excitement around AI agents capable of accelerating scientific discovery by running experiments. However, there is currently no benchmark that evaluates whether such agents can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Gyeongwon James Kim , Alex Wilf , Louis-Philippe Morency , Daniel Fried

For right censored survival data, it is well known that the mean survival time can be consistently estimated when the support of the censoring time contains the support of the survival time. In practice, however, this condition can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-01 Ying Ding , Bin Nan