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This paper presents the development of an algorithm, termed the Global-Local Hybrid Surrogate (GLHS), designed to efficiently compute the probability of rare failure events in complex systems. The primary goal is to enhance the accuracy of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Audrey Gaymann , Juan M. Cardenas , Sung Min Jo , Marco Panesi , Alireza Doostan

With their motion-responsive nature, event-based cameras offer significant advantages over traditional cameras for optical flow estimation. While deep learning has improved upon traditional methods, current neural networks adopted for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Gokul Raju Govinda Raju , Nikola Zubić , Marco Cannici , Davide Scaramuzza

In this article, we construct a numerical method for a stochastic version of the Susceptible Infected Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, expressed by a suitable stochastic differential equation (SDE), by using the semi-discrete method to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Yiannis Kiouvrekis , Ioannis S. Stamatiou

Dimension reduction, widely used in science, maps high-dimensional data into low-dimensional space. We investigate a basic mathematical model underlying the techniques of stochastic neighborhood embedding (SNE) and its popular variant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-26 Ben Weinkove

We consider systems of stochastic differential equations with multiple scales and small noise and assume that the coefficients of the equations are ergodic and stationary random fields. Our goal is to construct provably-efficient importance…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Stochastic differential equations provide a rich class of flexible generative models, capable of describing a wide range of spatio-temporal processes. A host of recent work looks to learn data-representing SDEs, using neural networks and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Scott Cameron , Tyron Cameron , Arnu Pretorius , Stephen Roberts

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

This article investigates the weak approximation towards the invariant measure of semi-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) under non-globally Lipschitz coefficients. For this purpose, we propose a linear-theta-projected Euler…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Chenxu Pang , Xiaojie Wang , Yue Wu

Inferring from the occurrence pattern of slow slip events (SSEs) the probability of triggering a damaging earthquake within the nearby velocity weakening portion of the plate interface is critical for hazard mitigation. Although robust…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-23 Yiming Ma , Andreas Anastasiou , Fabien Montiel

Standard Adjacency Spectral Embedding (ASE) relies on a global low-rank assumption often incompatible with the sparse, transitive structure of real-world networks, causing local geometric features to be 'smeared'. To address this, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Hannah Sansford , Nick Whiteley , Patrick Rubin-Delanchy

Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

We present a method to compute the stochastic reachability safety probabilities for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems. Our approach takes advantage of a nonparametric learning technique known as conditional distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-19 Adam J. Thorpe , Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Meeko M. K. Oishi

This work proposes an adaptive sequential Monte Carlo sampling algorithm to solve Bayesian inverse problems in scenarios where likelihood evaluations are costly but can be approximated using a surrogate model built from previous evaluations…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Frederic Cerou , Patrick Heas , Mathias Rousset

Any performance analysis based on stochastic simulation is subject to the errors inherent in misspecifying the modeling assumptions, particularly the input distributions. In situations with little support from data, we investigate the use…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Soumyadip Ghosh , Henry Lam

In recent years, exploring effective sound separation (SSep) techniques to improve overlapping sound event detection (SED) attracts more and more attention. Creating accurate separation signals to avoid the catastrophic error accumulation…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-07 Yunhao Liang , Yanhua Long , Yijie Li , Jiaen Liang

For stochastic process models, parameter inference is often severely bottlenecked by computationally expensive likelihood functions. Simulation-based inference (SBI) bypasses this restriction by constructing amortized surrogate likelihoods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alexander Shen , Mikael Kuusela

This work proposes and analyzes a generalized acceleration technique for decreasing the computational complexity of using stochastic collocation (SC) methods to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) with random input data. The SC…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Diego Galindo , Peter Jantsch , Clayton G. Webster , Guannan Zhang

The performance bottleneck of Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) in stuttering speech scenarios has limited its applicability in domains such as speech rehabilitation. This paper proposed an LLM-driven ASR-SED multi-task learning framework…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Shangkun Huang , Jing Deng , Jintao Kang , Rong Zheng

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías