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We study a distributionally robust optimization formulation (i.e., a min-max game) for two representative problems in Bayesian nonparametric estimation: Gaussian process regression and, more generally, linear inverse problems. Our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

We introduce a fine-grained framework for uncertainty quantification of predictive models under distributional shifts. This framework distinguishes the shift in covariate distributions from that in the conditional relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jiahao Ai , Zhimei Ren

Robust estimation is an important problem in statistics which aims at providing a reasonable estimator when the data-generating distribution lies within an appropriately defined ball around an uncontaminated distribution. Although minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Zheng Liu , Po-Ling Loh

We consider a residuals-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model, where the underlying uncertainty depends on both covariate information and our decisions. We adopt both parametric and nonparametric regression models to learn…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Qing Zhu , Xian Yu , Guzin Bayraksan

We study the decentralized distributed computation of discrete approximations for the regularized Wasserstein barycenter of a finite set of continuous probability measures distributedly stored over a network. We assume there is a network of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Pavel Dvurechensky , Darina Dvinskikh , Alexander Gasnikov , César A. Uribe , Angelia Nedić

Wasserstein Discriminant Analysis (WDA) is a new supervised method that can improve classification of high-dimensional data by computing a suitable linear map onto a lower dimensional subspace. Following the blueprint of classical Linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-21 Rémi Flamary , Marco Cuturi , Nicolas Courty , Alain Rakotomamonjy

We perform a mathematical and statistical analysis of the Wasserstein least squares problem, a regression method for vector-valued covariates and distribution-valued responses. Our proposal contrasts with other distributional regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Uriel Martínez León , Jonathan Niles-Weed

Causal Abstraction (CA) theory provides a principled framework for relating causal models that describe the same system at different levels of granularity while ensuring interventional consistency between them. Recent methods for learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yorgos Felekis , Theodoros Damoulas , Paris Giampouras

Distributionally robust supervised learning (DRSL) is emerging as a key paradigm for building reliable machine learning systems for real-world applications -- reflecting the need for classifiers and predictive models that are robust to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Yaodong Yu , Tianyi Lin , Eric Mazumdar , Michael I. Jordan

This paper proposes a fast and scalable method for uncertainty quantification of machine learning models' predictions. First, we show the principled way to measure the uncertainty of predictions for a classifier based on Nadaraya-Watson's…

Consider the empirical measure, $\hat{\mathbb{P}}_N$, associated to $N$ i.i.d. samples of a given probability distribution $\mathbb{P}$ on the unit interval. For fixed $\mathbb{P}$ the Wasserstein distance between $\hat{\mathbb{P}}_N$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Samuel N. Cohen , Martin N. A. Tegnér , Johannes Wiesel

This paper studies a distributionally robust chance constrained program (DRCCP) with Wasserstein ambiguity set, where the uncertain constraints should be satisfied with a probability at least a given threshold for all the probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Weijun Xie

Domain generalization aims at learning a universal model that performs well on unseen target domains, incorporating knowledge from multiple source domains. In this research, we consider the scenario where different domain shifts occur among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Jingge Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Shao-Lun Huang , Yang Li

The behavior of users in relatively predictable, both in terms of the data they request and the wireless channels they observe. In this paper, we consider the statistics of such predictable patterns of the demand and channel jointly across…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-14 L. Srikar Muppirisetty , John Tadrous , Atilla Eryilmaz , Henk Wymeersch

In this paper we tackle the problem of comparing distributions of random variables and defining a mean pattern between a sample of random events. Using barycenters of measures in the Wasserstein space, we propose an iterative version as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Emmanuel Boissard , Thibaut Le Gouic , Jean-Michel Loubes

Inspired by recent advances in distributed algorithms for approximating Wasserstein barycenters, we propose a novel distributed algorithm for this problem. The main novelty is that we consider time-varying computational networks, which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Olga Yufereva , Michael Persiianov , Pavel Dvurechensky , Alexander Gasnikov , Dmitry Kovalev

Estimating the density of a distribution from samples is a fundamental problem in statistics. In many practical settings, the Wasserstein distance is an appropriate error metric for density estimation. For example, when estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Vitaly Feldman , Audra McMillan , Satchit Sivakumar , Kunal Talwar

Graphs are playing a crucial role in different fields since they are powerful tools to unveil intrinsic relationships among signals. In many scenarios, an accurate graph structure representing signals is not available at all and that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Xiang Zhang , Yinfei Xu , Qinghe Liu , Zhicheng Liu , Jian Lu , Qiao Wang

Learning conditional densities and identifying factors that influence the entire distribution are vital tasks in data-driven applications. Conventional approaches work mostly with summary statistics, and are hence inadequate for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Chengliang Tang , Nathan Lenssen , Ying Wei , Tian Zheng

We study sample average approximations (SAA) of chance constrained programs. SAA methods typically approximate the actual distribution in the chance constraint using an empirical distribution constructed from random samples assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Shuhao Yan , Francesca Parise , Eilyan Bitar