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In many applications in statistics and machine learning, the availability of data samples from multiple possibly heterogeneous sources has become increasingly prevalent. On the other hand, in distributionally robust optimization, we seek…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Tim Tsz-Kit Lau , Han Liu

Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh

Locally stationary (LSPs) constitute an essential modeling paradigm for capturing the nuanced dynamics inherent in time series data whose statistical characteristics, including mean and variance, evolve smoothly across time. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Jan Nino G. Tinio , Mokhtar Z. Alaya , Salim Bouzebda

We study data-driven decision problems where historical observations are generated by a time-evolving distribution whose consecutive shifts are bounded in Wasserstein distance. We address this nonstationarity using a distributionally robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Edward J. Anderson , Wolfram Wiesemann

We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Francesco Micheli , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

We consider generic stochastic optimization problems in the presence of side information which enables a more insightful decision. The side information constitutes observable exogenous covariates that alter the conditional probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Prateek R. Srivastava , Yijie Wang , Grani A. Hanasusanto , Chin Pang Ho

We consider a data-driven robust hypothesis test where the optimal test will minimize the worst-case performance regarding distributions that are close to the empirical distributions with respect to the Wasserstein distance. This leads to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Liyan Xie , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

We revisit Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection model by considering a distributionally robust version, where the region of distributional uncertainty is around the empirical measure and the discrepancy between probability measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-15 Jose Blanchet , Lin Chen , Xun Yu Zhou

Conditional distribution is a fundamental quantity for describing the relationship between a response and a predictor. We propose a Wasserstein generative approach to learning a conditional distribution. The proposed approach uses a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Shiao Liu , Xingyu Zhou , Yuling Jiao , Jian Huang

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We consider distributionally robust optimization problems where the uncertainty is modeled via a structured Wasserstein ambiguity set. Specifically, the ambiguity is restricted to product measures $P^{\otimes N}$, where $P$ lies within a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Andrey Kharitenko , Marta Fochesato , Anastasios Tsiamis , Niklas Schmid , John Lygeros

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

We study a class of distributionally robust games where agents are allowed to heterogeneously choose their risk aversion with respect to distributional shifts of the uncertainty. In our formulation, heterogeneous Wasserstein ball…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Zifan Wang , Georgios Pantazis , Sergio Grammatico , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson

Distributionally robust control (DRC) aims to effectively manage distributional ambiguity in stochastic systems. While most existing works address inaccurate distributional information in fully observable settings, we consider a partially…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-23 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We consider stochastic programs where the distribution of the uncertain parameters is only observable through a finite training dataset. Using the Wasserstein metric, we construct a ball in the space of (multivariate and non-discrete)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Rui Gao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

The problem of modeling the relationship between univariate distributions and one or more explanatory variables has found increasing interest. Traditional functional data methods cannot be applied directly to distributional data because of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller
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