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This paper considers a class of real-time stochastic optimization problems dependent on an unknown probability distribution. In the considered scenario, data is streaming frequently while trying to reach a decision. Thus, we aim to devise a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

High-dimensional compositional data arise naturally in many applications such as metagenomic data analysis. The observed data lie in a high-dimensional simplex, and conventional statistical methods often fail to produce sensible results due…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-19 Yuanpei Cao , Wei Lin , Hongzhe Li

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVar) has become an increasingly important tool in data science with wide applications in many engineering and scientific fields such as geoscience1-12, biology13 and the financial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-28 Xiangjun Tian , Aiguo Dai , Xiaobing Feng , Hongqin Zhang , Rui Han , Lu Zhang

This paper proposes two practical implementations of Four-Dimensional Variational (4D-Var) Ensemble Kalman Filter (4D-EnKF) methods for non-linear data assimilation. Our formulations' main idea is to avoid the intrinsic need for adjoint…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-05 Elias Nin-Ruiz , Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez

High-speed boundary-layer transition is extremely sensitive to the free-stream disturbances which are often uncertain. This uncertainty compromises predictions of models and simulations. To enhance the fidelity of simulations, we directly…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-28 David A. Buchta , Tamer A. Zaki

This paper studies the problem of estimating the covariance of a collection of vectors using only highly compressed measurements of each vector. An estimator based on back-projections of these compressive samples is proposed and analyzed. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Martin Azizyan , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Aarti Singh

Methods to deal with systematic model errors are an increasingly important component of modern data assimilation systems and their effectiveness has increased in recent years thanks to advances in methodology and the quality and density of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-26 Massimo Bonavita , Patrick Laloyaux

We propose a method for estimating a covariance matrix that can be represented as a sum of a low-rank matrix and a diagonal matrix. The proposed method compresses high-dimensional data, computes the sample covariance in the compressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Gautam Sabnis , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Data assimilation performance can be significantly impacted by biased noise in observations, altering the signal magnitude and introducing fast oscillations or discontinuities when the system lacks smoothness. To mitigate these issues, this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Felipe Galarce , Joaquin Mura , Alfonso Caiazzo

This paper considers a class of real-time decision making problems to minimize the expected value of a function that depends on a random variable $\xi$ under an unknown distribution $\mathbb{P}$. In this process, samples of $\xi$ are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

Data assimilation (DA) aims at optimally merging observational data and model outputs to create a coherent statistical and dynamical picture of the system under investigation. Indeed, DA aims at minimizing the effect of observational and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-05 Yumeng Chen , Alberto Carrassi , Valerio Lucarini

We study optimization for data-driven decision-making when we have observations of the uncertain parameters within the optimization model together with concurrent observations of covariates. Given a new covariate observation, the goal is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

Earth system modeling presents a fundamental challenge in scientific computing: capturing complex, multiscale nonlinear dynamics in computationally efficient models while minimizing forecast errors caused by necessary simplifications. Even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yongquan Qu , Matthieu Blanke , Sara Shamekh , Pierre Gentine

Reconstruction of turbulent flow based on data assimilation methods is of significant importance for improving the estimation of flow characteristics by incorporating limited observations. Existing works mainly focus on using only one…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-30 Xin-Lei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Guo-Wei He , Shi-Zhao Wang

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

Data assimilation (DA) addresses the problem of sequentially estimating the state of a dynamical system from noisy and incomplete observations. In this work, we employ a diffusion model as a world model to simulate and predict the system's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lifu Wei , Yinuo Ren , Naichen Shi , Yiping Lu

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

For many years, strongly and weakly constrained approaches were the only options to deal with errors in four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVar), with the aim of balancing the degrees of freedom and model constraints. Strong…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Xiangjun Tian , Hongqin Zhang , Zhe Jin , Min Zhao , Yilong Wang , Yinhai Luo , Ziqing Zhang , Yanyan Tan

We present a convolution-based data assimilation method tailored to neuronal electrophysiology, addressing the limitations of traditional value-based synchronization approaches. While conventional methods rely on nudging terms and pointwise…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Dawei Li , Henry D. I. Abarbanel