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Variational inference is an alternative estimation technique for Bayesian models. Recent work shows that variational methods provide consistent estimation via efficient, deterministic algorithms. Other tools, such as model selection using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Mark J. Meyer , Selina Carter , Elizabeth J. Malloy

Boosting is an extremely successful idea, allowing one to combine multiple low accuracy classifiers into a much more accurate voting classifier. In this work, we present a new and surprisingly simple Boosting algorithm that obtains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Mikael Møller Høgsgaard , Kasper Green Larsen , Markus Engelund Mathiasen

Bayesian inference is a powerful tool for combining information in complex settings, a task of increasing importance in modern applications. However, Bayesian inference with a flawed model can produce unreliable conclusions. This review…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-22 David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , David T. Frazier

High-dimensional variable selection, with many more covariates than observations, is widely documented in standard regression models, but there are still few tools to address it in non-linear mixed-effects models where data are collected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Marion Naveau , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Renaud Rincent , Laure Sansonnet , Maud Delattre

The fields of machine learning and mathematical optimization increasingly intertwined. The special topic on supervised learning and convex optimization examines this interplay. The training part of most supervised learning algorithms can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-14 Nan Wang

Modern biotechnologies often result in high-dimensional data sets with much more variables than observations (n $\ll$ p). These data sets pose new challenges to statistical analysis: Variable selection becomes one of the most important…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-06 Benjamin Hofner , Luigi Boccuto , Markus Göker

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Boosting as gradient descent algorithms is one popular method in machine learning. In this paper a novel Boosting-type algorithm is proposed based on restricted gradient descent with structural sparsity control whose underlying dynamics are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-18 Chendi Huang , Xinwei Sun , Jiechao Xiong , Yuan Yao

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

As models of cognition grow in complexity and number of parameters, Bayesian inference with standard methods can become intractable, especially when the data-generating model is of unknown analytic form. Recent advances in simulation-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Eva Marie Wieschen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Understanding and interpreting how machine learning (ML) models make decisions have been a big challenge. While recent research has proposed various technical approaches to provide some clues as to how an ML model makes individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Wenbo Guo , Sui Huang , Yunzhe Tao , Xinyu Xing , Lin Lin

We study methods for simultaneous analysis of many noisy and biased estimates, each paired with an even noisier estimate of its own bias. The analyst's goal is to construct short calibrated intervals for each parameter. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Wanyi Ling , Sida Li , Junming Guan , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Meta-analysis is a statistical method used in evidence synthesis for combining, analyzing and summarizing studies that have the same target endpoint and aims to derive a pooled quantitative estimate using fixed and random effects models or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Ivette Raices Cruz , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Johan Lindström , Ullrika Sahlin

High-dimensional regression specification and analysis is a complex and active area of research in statistics, machine learning, and econometrics. This paper proposes a new approach, Boosting with Multiple Testing (BMT), which combines…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 George Kapetanios , Vasilis Sarafidis , Alexia Ventouri