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Analyzing the underlying structure of multiple time-sequences provides insights into the understanding of social networks and human activities. In this work, we present the \emph{Bayesian nonparametric Poisson process allocation} (BaNPPA),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Hongyi Ding , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

In this paper we provide general conditions to check on the model and the prior to derive posterior concentration rates for data-dependent priors (or empirical Bayes approaches). We aim at providing conditions that are close to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Despite the fundamental nature of the inhomogeneous Poisson process in the theory and application of stochastic processes, and its attractive generalizations (e.g. Cox process), few tractable nonparametric modeling approaches of intensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Seth Flaxman , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

In [Schuhmacher, Electron. J. Probab. 10 (2005), 165--201] estimates of the Barbour-Brown distance d_2 between the distribution of a thinned point process and the distribution of a Poisson process were derived by combining discretization…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. However, due to the flexibility of these models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

Within Bayesian nonparametrics, dependent Dirichlet process mixture models provide a highly flexible approach for conducting inference about the conditional density function. However, several formulations of this class make either rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio , Nadja Klein

The intensity of a Gibbs point process is usually an intractable function of the model parameters. For repulsive pairwise interaction point processes, this intensity can be expressed as the Laplace transform of some particular function.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-11 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

The compound Poisson process and the Dirichlet process are the pillar structures of Renewal theory and Bayesian nonparametric theory, respectively. Both processes have many useful extensions to fulfill the practitioners needs to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-17 Arrigo Coen , Beatriz Godínez-Chaparro

The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-19 Lihao Yin , Huiyan Sang

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a non-homogeneous intensity function from the observation of n independent Poisson processes having a common intensity that is randomly shifted for each observed trajectory. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-20 Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat , Thierry Klein , Clément Marteau

While most Bayesian nonparametric models in machine learning have focused on the Dirichlet process, the beta process, or their variants, the gamma process has recently emerged as a useful nonparametric prior in its own right. Current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-17 Anirban Roychowdhury , Brian Kulis

We consider a doubly stochastic Poisson process with stochastic intensity $\lambda_t =n q\left(X_t\right)$ where $X$ is a continuous It\^o semimartingale and $n$ is an integer. Both processes are observed continuously over a fixed period…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Thomas Deschatre

A spatial point process can be characterized by an intensity function which predicts the number of events that occur across space. In this paper, we develop a method to infer predictive intensity intervals by learning a spatial model using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-06 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

In many applications there is interest in estimating the relation between a predictor and an outcome when the relation is known to be monotone or otherwise constrained due to the physical processes involved. We consider one such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Ander Wilson , Jessica Tryner , Christian L'Orange , John Volckens

We consider additive functionals of systems of random measures whose initial configuration is given by a Poisson point process, and whose individual components evolve according to arbitrary Markovian or non-Markovian measure valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Arturo Jaramillo , Antonio Murillo-Salas

Seasonal point processes refer to stochastic models for random events which are only observed in a given season. We develop nonparametric Bayesian methodology to study the dynamic evolution of a seasonal marked point process intensity. We…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-08 Sai Xiao , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We establish Poisson and compound Poisson approximations for stabilizing statistics of $\beta$-mixing point processes and give explicit rates of convergence. Our findings are based on a general estimate of the total variation distance of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Nicolas Chenavier , Moritz Otto