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The COVID-19 pandemic prompted a surge in computational models to simulate disease dynamics and guide interventions. Agent-based models (ABMs) are well-suited to capture population and environmental heterogeneity, but their rapid deployment…

Drawing on infrastructure studies in HCI and CSCW, this paper introduces Protocol Futuring, a methodological framework that extends design futuring by foregrounding protocols -- rules, standards, and coordination mechanisms -- as the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Botao Amber Hu , Samuel Chua , Helena Rong

We address the challenge of forecasting counterfactual outcomes in a panel data with missing entries and temporally dependent latent factors -- a common scenario in causal inference, where estimating unobserved potential outcomes ahead of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Navonil Deb , Raaz Dwivedi , Sumanta Basu

Modern robotics is gravitating toward increasingly collaborative human robot interaction. Tools such as acceleration policies can naturally support the realization of reactive, adaptive, and compliant robots. These tools require us to model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-10-09 Daniel Kappler , Franziska Meier , Nathan Ratliff , Stefan Schaal

The worldwide impact of the recent COVID-19 pandemic has been substantial, necessitating the development of accurate forecasting models to predict the spread and course of a pandemic. Previous methods for outbreak forecasting have faced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Ashutosh Anshul , Jhalak Gupta , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

This report summarizes the discussions and conclusions of a 2-day multidisciplinary workshop that brought together researchers and practitioners in healthcare, computer science, and social sciences to explore what lessons were learned and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-04 David Danks , Rada Mihalcea , Katie Siek , Mona Singh , Brian Dixon , Haley Griffin

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

Future prediction is a fundamental principle of intelligence that helps plan actions and avoid possible dangers. As the future is uncertain to a large extent, modeling the uncertainty and multimodality of the future states is of great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Osama Makansi , Eddy Ilg , Özgün Cicek , Thomas Brox

We are witnessing a widespread adoption of artificial intelligence in healthcare. However, most of the advancements in deep learning in this area consider only unimodal data, neglecting other modalities. Their multimodal interpretation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Valerio Guarrasi , Lorenzo Tronchin , Domenico Albano , Eliodoro Faiella , Deborah Fazzini , Domiziana Santucci , Paolo Soda

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Operational urban transport models require to gather heterogeneous sets of data and often integrate different sub-models. Their systematic validation and reproducible application therefore remains problematic. We propose in this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-30 Juste Raimbault , Michael Batty

Epidemic forecasts are only as good as the accuracy of epidemic measurements. Is epidemic data, particularly COVID-19 epidemic data, clean and devoid of noise? Common sense implies the negative answer. While we cannot evaluate the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-25 Long MA , Piet Van Mieghem , Maksim Kitsak

During the COVID-19 pandemic, a massive number of attempts on the predictions of the number of cases and the other future trends of this pandemic have been made. However, they fail to predict, in a reliable way, the medium and long term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Mert Nakıp , Onur Çopur , Cüneyt Güzeliş

Widespread deployment of societal-scale machine learning systems necessitates a thorough understanding of the resulting long-term effects these systems have on their environment, including loss of trustworthiness, bias amplification, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Andrey Veprikov , Alexander Afanasiev , Anton Khritankov

The new corona virus disease -- COVID-2019 -- is rapidly spreading through the world. The availability of unbiased timely statistics of trends in disease events are a key to effective responses. But due to reporting delays, the most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-15 Adam Altmejd , Joacim Rocklöv , Jonas Wallin

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

This study proposes a unified forecasting framework for high-dimensional multi-task time series to meet the prediction demands of cloud native backend systems operating under highly dynamic loads, coupled metrics, and parallel tasks. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Zixiao Huang , Jixiao Yang , Sijia Li , Chi Zhang , Jinyu Chen , Chengda Xu

Continued model-based decision support is associated with particular challenges, especially in long-term projects. Due to the regularly changing questions and the often changing understanding of the underlying system, the models used must…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Martin Bicher , Claire Rippinger , Christoph Urach , Dominik Brunmeir , Melanie Zechmeister , Niki Popper