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Pair trading is one of the most effective statistical arbitrage strategies which seeks a neutral profit by hedging a pair of selected assets. Existing methods generally decompose the task into two separate steps: pair selection and trading.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-26 Weiguang Han , Boyi Zhang , Qianqian Xie , Min Peng , Yanzhao Lai , Jimin Huang

Negotiation is a process where agents aim to work through disputes and maximize their surplus. As the use of deep reinforcement learning in bargaining games is unexplored, this paper evaluates its ability to exploit, adapt, and cooperate to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Ho-Chun Herbert Chang

We consider a trader who aims to liquidate a large position in the presence of an arbitrageur who hopes to profit from the trader's activity. The arbitrageur is uncertain about the trader's position and learns from observed price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-03-11 Ciamac C. Moallemi , Beomsoo Park , Benjamin Van Roy

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

In this paper we provide a quantitative analysis to the concept of arbitrage, that allows to deal with model uncertainty without imposing the no-arbitrage condition. In markets that admit ``small arbitrage", we can still make sense of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-05 Beatrice Acciaio , Julio Backhoff , Gudmund Pammer

We propose a multi-agent distributed reinforcement learning algorithm that balances between potentially conflicting short-term reward and sparse, delayed long-term reward, and learns with partial information in a dynamic environment. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Jing Tan , Ramin Khalili , Holger Karl

Machine learning is central to empirical asset pricing, but portfolio construction still relies on point predictions and largely ignores asset-specific estimation uncertainty. We propose a simple change: sort assets using…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-05 Yan Liu , Ye Luo , Zigan Wang , Xiaowei Zhang

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Deep hedging is a deep-learning-based framework for derivative hedging in incomplete markets. The advantage of deep hedging lies in its ability to handle various realistic market conditions, such as market frictions, which are challenging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Masanori Hirano , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo

Stock trading strategy plays a crucial role in investment companies. However, it is challenging to obtain optimal strategy in the complex and dynamic stock market. We explore the potential of deep reinforcement learning to optimize stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Xiao-Yang Liu , Zhuoran Xiong , Shan Zhong , Hongyang Yang , Anwar Walid

With the improvement of computer performance and the development of GPU-accelerated technology, trading with machine learning algorithms has attracted the attention of many researchers and practitioners. In this research, we propose a novel…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Huanming Zhang , Zhengyong Jiang , Jionglong Su

Asset allocation is an investment strategy that aims to balance risk and reward by constantly redistributing the portfolio's assets according to certain goals, risk tolerance, and investment horizon. Unfortunately, there is no simple…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Ricard Durall

In this paper we develop a statistical arbitrage trading strategy with two key elements in hi-frequency trading: stop-loss and leverage. We consider, as in Bertram (2009), a mean-reverting process for the security price with proportional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-22 Roberto Baviera , Tommaso Santagostino Baldi

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

We establish a high-dimensional statistical learning framework for individualized asset allocation. Our proposed methodology addresses continuous-action decision-making with a large number of characteristics. We develop a discretization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-09 Yi Ding , Yingying Li , Rui Song

We present an algorithm for the calibration of local volatility from market option prices through deep self-consistent learning, by approximating both market option prices and local volatility using deep neural networks. Our method uses the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-11 Zhe Wang , Ameir Shaa , Nicolas Privault , Claude Guet

In this letter, we address the problem of controlling energy storage systems (ESSs) for arbitrage in real-time electricity markets under price uncertainty. We first formulate this problem as a Markov decision process, and then develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Hanchen Xu , Xiao Li , Xiangyu Zhang , Junbo Zhang

We consider derivatives written on multiple underlyings in a one-period financial market, and we are interested in the computation of model-free upper and lower bounds for their arbitrage-free prices. We work in a completely realistic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-13 Ariel Neufeld , Antonis Papapantoleon , Qikun Xiang

We predict asset returns and measure risk premia using a prominent technique from artificial intelligence -- deep sequence modeling. Because asset returns often exhibit sequential dependence that may not be effectively captured by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Lin William Cong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang , Yang Zhang