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We investigate the first passage statistics of active continuous time random walks with Poissonian waiting time distribution on a one dimensional infinite lattice and a two dimensional infinite square lattice. We study the small and large…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-27 Stephy Jose

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

With nontrivial entropy production, first passage process is one of the most common nonequilibrium process in stochastic thermodynamics. Using one dimensional birth and death precess as a model framework, approximated expressions of mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Yunxin Zhang

Persistence, defined as the probability that a fluctuating signal has not reached a threshold up to a given observation time, plays a crucial role in the theory of random processes. It quantifies the kinetics of processes as varied as phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-12 N. Levernier , T. V. Mendes , O. Bénichou , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin

We consider a change detection problem in which the arrival rate of a Poisson process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. It is assumed that the prior distribution of the disorder time is known. The objective is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Semih Sezer

The mean first passage time, one of the important characteristics for a stochastic process, is often calculated assuming the observation time is infinite. However, in practice, the observation time, T, is always finite and the mean first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Ji-Hyun Kim , Hunki Lee , Sanggeun Song , Hye Ran Koh , Jaeyoung Sung

Evaluating the completion time of a random algorithm or a running stochastic process is a valuable tip not only from a purely theoretical, but also pragmatic point of view. In the formal sense, this kind of a task is specified in terms of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-24 Przemyslaw Chelminiak

Even after decades of research the problem of first passage time statistics for quantum dynamics remains a challenging topic of fundamental and practical importance. Using a projective measurement approach, with a sampling time $\tau$, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-05 Harel Friedman , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

Stochastic kinetic models are often used to describe complex biological processes. Typically these models are analytically intractable and have unknown parameters which need to be estimated from observed data. Ideally we would have…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-13 Richard J. Boys , Holly F. Ainsworth , Colin S. Gillespie

The Inverse First Passage time problem seeks to determine the boundary corresponding to a given stochastic process and a fixed first passage time distribution. Here, we determine the numerical solution of this problem in the case of a two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Alessia Civallero , Cristina Zucca

The process of fluctuations of trajectory observables of stochastic systems is related to processes with independent increments from the risk theory. The first-passage times of variables of the thermodynamics of trajectories, in particular,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-17 V. V. Ryazanov

The problem of detecting the presence of a signal that can lead to a disaster is studied. A decision-maker collects data sequentially over time. At some point in time, called the change point, the distribution of data changes. This change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-07 Tim Brucks , Taposh Banerjee , Rahul Mishra

Current is a characteristic feature of nonequilibrium systems. In stochastic systems, these currents exhibit fluctuations constrained by the rate of dissipation in accordance with the recently discovered thermodynamic uncertainty relation.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-30 Todd R. Gingrich , Jordan M. Horowitz

We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

We study the statistics of infima, stopping times and passage probabilities of entropy production in nonequilibrium steady states, and show that they are universal. We consider two examples of stopping times: first-passage times of entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-02-28 Izaak Neri , Édgar Roldán , Frank Jülicher

We investigate how confinement may drastically change both the probability density of the first-encounter time and the related survival probability in the case of two diffusing particles. To obtain analytical insights into this problem, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-16 F. Le Vot , S. B. Yuste , E. Abad , D. S. Grebenkov

Systems where resource availability approaches a critical threshold are common to many engineering and scientific applications and often necessitate the estimation of first passage time statistics of a Brownian motion (Bm) driven by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-05 Annalisa Molini , Peter Talkner , Gabriel G. Katul , Amilcare Porporato

We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-26 Vaibhav Srivastava , Philip Holmes , Patrick Simen

Biochemical processes in cells are governed by complex networks of many chemical species interacting stochastically in diverse ways and on different time scales. Constructing microscopically accurate models of such networks is often…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-09 Catalina Rivera , David Hofmann , Ilya Nemenman
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