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The non-population conserving SIR (SIR-NC) model to describe the spread of infections in a community is proposed and studied. Unlike the standard SIR model, SIR-NC does not assume population conservation. Although similar in form to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Vivek S. Borkar , D. Manjunath

The disaggregated time-series for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) often exhibits exact zero price changes, stemming from structural features of the data collection process. However, the currently prominent stochastic volatility model of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Geonhee Han , Kaoru Irie

A market with asymmetric information can be viewed as a repeated exchange game between the informed sector and the uninformed one. In a market with risk-neutral agents, De Meyer [2010] proves that the price process should be a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Bernard De Meyer , Gaëtan Fournier

We study conditional risk minimization (CRM), i.e. the problem of learning a hypothesis of minimal risk for prediction at the next step of sequentially arriving dependent data. Despite it being a fundamental problem, successful learning in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Alexander Zimin , Christoph Lampert

We study a high-dimensional regression setting under the assumption of known covariate distribution. We aim at estimating the amount of explained variation in the response by the best linear function of the covariates (the signal level). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Ilan Livne , David Azriel , Yair Goldberg

We continue a series of papers where prices of the barrier options written on the underlying, which dynamics follows some one factor stochastic model with time-dependent coefficients and the barrier, are obtained in semi-closed form, see…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-13 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin , Dmitry Muravey

Models which postulate lognormal dynamics for interest rates which are compounded according to market conventions, such as forward LIBOR or forward swap rates, can be constructed initially in a discrete tenor framework. Interpolating…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-22 Erik Schlögl

We propose a continuous time model for financial markets with proportional transactions costs and a continuum of risky assets. This is motivated by bond markets in which the continuum of assets corresponds to the continuum of possible…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Bruno Bouchard , Emmanuel Lepinette , Erik Taflin

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and incremental net benefit (INB) are widely used for cost-effectiveness analysis. We develop methods for estimation and inference for the ICER and INB which use the semiparametric stratified…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Polyna Khudyakov , Li Xu , Ce Yang , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

The Composed Image Retrieval (CIR) task aims to retrieve target images using a composed query consisting of a reference image and a modified text. Advanced methods often utilize contrastive learning as the optimization objective, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Zhangchi Feng , Richong Zhang , Zhijie Nie

In finance, durations between successive transactions are usually modeled by the autoregressive conditional duration model based on a continuous distribution omitting zero values. Zero or close-to-zero durations can be caused by either…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Francisco Blasques , Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

The Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) model is a wide used estimation procedure in econometrics, insurance and finance, where very often, the regression model contains more than one equation. Unknown parameters, regression coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-05 Giovanni Saraceno , Fatemah Alqallaf , Claudio Agostinelli

In this paper we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on some dynamics parameters, and we show how to calibrate the model using a chosen number of Credit Default Swap (CDS) market quotes. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-17 Damiano Brigo , Marco Tarenghi

We develop a new approach to solving classification problems, which is bases on the theory of coherent measures of risk and risk sharing ideas. The proposed approach aims at designing a risk-averse classifier. The new approach allows for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-24 Constantine Vitt , Darinka Dentcheva , Hui Xiong

Many countries impose regulatory restrictions on lending rates known as interest rate caps. In most cases, these restrictions apply to the effective (rather than nominal) interest rate, a measure which incorporates all commissions and fees…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-14 Mikhail V. Sokolov

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

This paper starts by defining the criteria where the early-exercise of an American option is never optimal, under positive, or negative rates. It follows with a short analysis of the various shapes of the exercise region under negative…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-01 Jherek Healy

This article's aim is to provide the solution to the equity premium puzzle without using calibrated values. Calibrated values of subjective time discount factor were used in my prior derived models because 4 variables were determined from 3…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Atilla Aras

In this paper, we consider a framework adapting the notion of cointegration when two asset prices are generated by a driftless It\^{o}-semimartingale featuring jumps with infinite activity, observed regularly and synchronously at high…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-24 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

We introduce a financial market model featuring a risky asset whose price follows a sticky geometric Brownian motion and a riskless asset that grows with a constant interest rate $r\in \mathbb R $. We prove that this model satisfies No…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-30 Alexis Anagnostakis