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A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

Direction of arrival (DOA) estimation in array processing using uniform/sparse linear arrays is concerned in this paper. While sparse methods via approximate parameter discretization have been popular in the past decade, the discretization…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-24 Zai Yang , Lihua Xie , Cishen Zhang

Independent $p$-dimensional vectors with independent complex or real valued entries such that $\mathbb{E} [\mathbf{x}_i] = \mathbf{0}$, ${\rm Var } (\mathbf{x}_i) = \mathbf{I}_p$, $i=1, \ldots,n$, let $\mathbf{T }_n$ be a $p \times p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

Nonstationary Gaussian processes (GPs) are essential for modeling complex, locally heterogeneous spatial data. A common modeling approach is the spatial deformation method that warps the domain to recover isotropy. However, this static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Minghao Gu , Weizhi Lin , Qiang Huang

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 James Requeima , Will Tebbutt , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

The computation of a matrix function $f(A)$ is an important task in scientific computing appearing in machine learning, network analysis and the solution of partial differential equations. In this work, we use only matrix-vector products…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Taejun Park , Yuji Nakatsukasa

We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Sami Remes , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

The process tensor framework to open quantum systems provides the most general description of multi-time correlations in non-Markovian quantum dynamics. A compressed representation of a process tensor in terms of matrix product operators…

This article improves on existing methods to estimate the spectral density of stationary and nonstationary time series assuming a Gaussian process prior. By optimising an appropriate eigendecomposition using a smoothing spline covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Nick James , Max Menzies

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to represent correlations among entities but remain vulnerable to data corruption. In this work, we introduce a modified trimmed-inner-product algorithm to robustly estimate the covariance in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Tong Yao , Shreyas Sundaram

Many spatial processes exhibit nonstationary features. We estimate a variance function from a single process observation where the errors are nonstationary and correlated. We propose a difference-based approach for a one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-24 Eunice J. Kim , Zhengyuan Zhu

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

This paper proposes using a sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian to provide a closed-form approximator for the output of probabilistic ensemble models used for dense image prediction tasks. This is achieved through a convolutional neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Ivor J. A. Simpson , Sara Vicente , Neill D. F. Campbell

Covariance estimation is essential yet underdeveloped for analyzing multivariate functional data. We propose a fast covariance estimation method for multivariate sparse functional data using bivariate penalized splines. The tensor-product…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Cai Li , Luo Xiao , Sheng Luo

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

The prevalence of spatially referenced multivariate data has impelled researchers to develop a procedure for the joint modeling of multiple spatial processes. This ordinarily involves modeling marginal and cross-process dependence for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun

This article establishes a rigorous spectral framework for the mathematical analysis of SHAP values. We show that any predictive model defined on a discrete or multi-valued input space admits a generalized Fourier expansion with respect to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Roberto Morales