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We introduce the so called DeepParticle method to learn and generate invariant measures of stochastic dynamical systems with physical parameters based on data computed from an interacting particle method (IPM). We utilize the expressiveness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Zhongjian Wang , Jack Xin , Zhiwen Zhang

We present a numerical approximation technique for the analysis of continuous-time Markov chains that describe networks of biochemical reactions and play an important role in the stochastic modeling of biological systems. Our approach is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-06 Thomas A. Henzinger , Maria Mateescu , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf

Stochastic modeling has become a popular approach to quantify uncertainty in flows through heterogeneous porous media. The uncertainty in heterogeneous structure properties is often parameterized by a high-dimensional random variable. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Lijian Jiang , J. David Moulton , Jia Wei

This paper proposes an adaptive stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for stable linear time invariant systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. We consider multi-input multi-output systems that can be expressed by a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Francesco Borrelli

Efficiently solving the continuous-time signal and discrete-time observation filtering problem for chaotic dynamical systems presents unique challenges in that the advected distribution between observations may encounter a separatrix…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-07 Ryne Beeson , Uwe Hanebeck

Stochastic process discovery is concerned with deriving a model capable of reproducing the stochastic character of observed executions of a given process, stored in a log. This leads to an optimisation problem in which the model's parameter…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Pierre Cry , Paolo Ballarini , András Horváth , Pascale Le Gall

The supply of electrical energy is being increasingly sourced from renewable generation resources. The variability and uncertainty of renewable generation, compared to a dispatch-able plant, is a significant dissimilarity of concern to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Farhad Samadi Gazijahani , Javad Salehi

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

We are interested in the online prediction of the electricity load, within the Bayesian framework of dynamic models. We offer a review of sequential Monte Carlo methods, and provide the calculations needed for the derivation of so-called…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-16 Tristan Launay , Anne Philippe , Sophie Lamarche

Simplified stochastic models are widely used in the study of frequency-resolved noise propagation in biochemical reaction networks, a common measure being the coherence between random fluctuations in molecule number trajectories. Such…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-03 Juan David Marmolejo Lozano , Nikola Popovic , Ramon Grima

Based on a rate equation model for single-mode two-level lasers, two algorithms for stochastically simulating the dynamics and steady-state behaviour of micro- and nanolasers are described in detail. Both methods lead to steady-state photon…

Optics · Physics 2020-10-21 Emil Cortes André , Jesper Mork , Martijn Wubs

The past decade has seen a revived interest in the unavoidable or intrinsic noise in biochemical and genetic networks arising from the finite copy number of the participating species. That is, rather than modeling regulatory networks in…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Aleksandra M. Walczak , Andrew Mugler , Chris H. WIggins

In this paper, we consider the filtering problem for partially observed diffusions, which are regularly observed at discrete times. We are concerned with the case when one must resort to time-discretization of the diffusion process if the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Marco Ballesio , Ajay Jasra , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

Significant efforts have gone into the development of statistical models for analyzing data in the form of networks, such as social networks. Most existing work has focused on modeling static networks, which represent either a single time…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Kevin S. Xu , Alfred O. Hero

Reaction-diffusion models are widely used to study spatially-extended chemical reaction systems. In order to understand how the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion model are affected by changes in its input parameters, efficient methods for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-08 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

The ability to track a moving vehicle is of crucial importance in numerous applications. The task has often been approached by the importance sampling technique of particle filters due to its ability to model non-linear and non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Kira Kempinska , John Shawe-Taylor

Particle filters are computational techniques for estimating the state of dynamical systems by integrating observational data with model predictions. This work introduces a class of Localized Particle Filters (LPFs) that exploit spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-10 Dan Crisan , Eliana Fausti

We introduce a new sequential methodology to calibrate the fixed parameters and track the stochastic dynamical variables of a state-space system. The proposed method is based on the nested hybrid filtering (NHF) framework of [1], that…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-24 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Joaquín Míguez

Particle filtering is a Bayesian inference method and a fundamental tool in state estimation for dynamic systems, but its effectiveness is often limited by the constraints of the initial prior distribution, a phenomenon we define as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Yiwei Shi , Jingyu Hu , Yu Zhang , Mengyue Yang , Weinan Zhang , Cunjia Liu , Weiru Liu

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten
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