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Under standard regularity assumptions, we provide simple approximations for specific classes of fiducial and confidence distributions and discuss their connections with objective Bayesian posteriors. For a real parameter the approximations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has been introduced for solving stochastic programs where the distribution of the random parameters is unknown and must be estimated by samples from that distribution. A key element of DRO is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 Xi Chen , Qihang Lin , Guanglin Xu

In this paper, we investigate the supremum-norm generalization error and the uniform inference for a specific class of kernel regression methods, namely the kernel gradient flows. Under the widely adopted capacity-source condition framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Yuqian Cheng , Zhuo Chen , Qian Lin

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

Consider two batches of independent or interdependent exponentiated location-scale distributed heterogeneous random variables. This article investigates ordering results for the second-order statistics from these batches when a vector of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

We develop honest and locally adaptive confidence bands for probability densities. They provide substantially improved confidence statements in case of inhomogeneous smoothness, and are easily implemented and visualized. The article…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-24 Tim Patschkowski , Angelika Rohde

Confidence intervals (CIs) are instrumental in statistical analysis, providing a range estimate of the parameters. In modern statistics, selective inference is common, where only certain parameters are highlighted. However, this selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Tzviel Frostig , Yoav Benjamini , Ruth Heller

For estimating a lower bounded parametric function in the framework of Marchand and Strawderman (2006), we provide through a unified approach a class of Bayesian confidence intervals with credibility $1-\alpha$ and frequentist coverage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Eric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

This article presents methods for constructing an asymptotic hyperbolic band under the multiple logistic regression model when the predictor variables are restricted to a specific region $\mathscr{X}$. Scheff\'{e}'s method yields…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Lucy Kerns

Sample autocorrelograms typically come with significance bands (non-rejection regions) for the null hypothesis of no temporal correlation. These bands have two shortcomings. First, they build on pointwise intervals and suffer from joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-26 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle , Tanja Zahn

Conformal prediction delivers prediction intervals with distribution-free coverage, but its intervals can look overconfident in regions where the model is extrapolating, because standard conformal scores do not explicitly represent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Sabina J. Sloman , Bruno M. Resende , Fanyi Wu , Michele Caprio , Rafael Izbicki

In this paper we consider the statistical inference of the unknown parameter of an exponential distribution based on the time truncated data. The time truncated data occurs quite often in the reliability analysis for type-I or hybrid…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-06 Arnab Koley , Debasis Kundu

In data analysis problems where we are not able to rely on distributional assumptions, what types of inference guarantees can still be obtained? Many popular methods, such as holdout methods, cross-validation methods, and conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Yonghoon Lee , Rina Foygel Barber

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) is an important tool to study the dynamics of a system of biological and physical processes. A central question in ODE modeling is to infer the significance of individual regulatory effect of one signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Xiaowu Dai , Lexin Li

This paper develops Kolmogorov-type maximal inequalities for sums of Negative Binomial random variables under both independence and dependence structures. For independent heterogeneous Negative Binomial variables we derive sharp Markov-type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Aristides V. Doumas , S. Spektor

This paper studies distributed binary test of statistical independence under communication (information bits) constraints. While testing independence is very relevant in various applications, distributed independence test is particularly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Pablo Piantanida

In this paper, we study frequentist coverage errors of Bayesian credible sets for an approximately linear regression model with (moderately) high dimensional regressors, where the dimension of the regressors may increase with but is smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Keisuke Yano , Kengo Kato

The field of distribution-free predictive inference provides tools for provably valid prediction without any assumptions on the distribution of the data, which can be paired with any regression algorithm to provide accurate and reliable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-19 Michael Bian , Rina Foygel Barber

The upper bounds on the coverage probabilities of the confidence regions based on blockwise empirical likelihood [Kitamura (1997)] and nonstandard expansive empirical likelihood [Nordman et al. (2013)] methods for time series data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-01 Xianyang Zhang , Xiaofeng Shao

In this paper, we establish uniform asymptotic certainty bands for the conditional cumulative distribution function. To this aim, we give exact rate of strong uniform consistency for the local linear estimator of this function. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-21 Sandie Ferrigno , Bernard Foliguet , Myriam Maumy-Bertrand , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin
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