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This paper analyses the relationship between BitCoin price and supply-demand fundamentals of BitCoin, global macro-financial indicators and BitCoin attractiveness for investors. Using daily data for the period 2009-2014 and applying…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-20 Pavel Ciaian , Miroslava Rajcaniova , d'Artis Kancs

This paper measures and compares the tail risks of limit and market orders using Extreme Value Theory. The analysis examines realised tail outcomes using the Dealing 2000-2 electronic broking system based on completed transactions rather…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 john cotter , kevin dowd

In this brief review, we critically examine the recent work done on correlation-based networks in financial systems. The structure of empirical correlation matrices constructed from the financial market data changes as the individual stock…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-21 Vishwas Kukreti , Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Priya Gupta , Sunil Kumar

In this work, we present a continuous-time large-population game for modeling market microstructure betweentwo consecutive trades. The proposed modeling framework is inspired by our previous work [23]. In this framework, the Limit Order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-21 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

We measure bond and stock conditional return volatility as a function of changes in sentiment, proxied by six indicators from the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange. We find that changes in sentiment affect conditional volatilities at different…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-03 Elroi Hadad , Haim Kedar-Levy

We conduct an empirical study using the quantile-based correlation function to uncover the temporal dependencies in financial time series. The study uses intraday data for the S\&P 500 stocks from the New York Stock Exchange. After…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Holger Dette , Thomas Guhr

The CAPM regression is typically interpreted as if the market return contemporaneously \emph{causes} individual returns, motivating beta-neutral portfolios and factor attribution. For realized equity returns, however, this interpretation is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-25 Naftali Cohen

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-31 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

This paper is the first of a series of short articles that explore the efficiency of major cryptocurrency markets. A number of statistical tests and properties of statistical distributions will be used to assess if cryptocurrency markets…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-01 Eugene Tartakovsky , Ksenia Plesovskikh , Anastasiia Sarmakeeva , Alexander Bibik

Correlation networks were used to detect characteristics which, although fixed over time, have an important influence on the evolution of prices over time. Potentially important features were identified using the websites and whitepapers of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Andrew Burnie

This letter explores the behavior of conditional correlations among main cryptocurrencies, stock and bond indices, and gold, using a generalized DCC class model. From a portfolio management point of view, asset correlation is a key metric…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-28 Nektarios Aslanidis , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Oscar Martinez-Ibañez

When following a sequence - such as reading a text or tracking a user's activity - one can measure how the "dictionary" of distinct elements (types) grows with the number of observations (tokens). When this growth follows a power law, it is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-21 Célestin Zimmerlin , Thomas Louail , Manuel Moussallam , Marc Barthelemy

Crypto-coins (also known as cryptocurrencies) are tradable digital assets. Notable examples include Bitcoin, Ether and Litecoin. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Pasquale De Rosa , Valerio Schiavoni

The Bitcoin transaction graph is a public data structure organized as transactions between addresses, each associated with a logical entity. In this work, we introduce a complete probabilistic model of the Bitcoin Blockchain. We first…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Marc Jourdan , Sebastien Blandin , Laura Wynter , Pralhad Deshpande

We analyse the dependence of stock return cross-correlations on the sampling frequency of the data known as the Epps effect: For high resolution data the cross-correlations are significantly smaller than their asymptotic value as observed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-26 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz

Unraveling the causal relationships among the execution of process activities is a crucial element in predicting the consequences of process interventions and making informed decisions regarding process improvements. Process discovery…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Fabiana Fournier , Lior Limonad , Inna Skarbovsky , Yuval David

What happens to the causal structure of a world when time is reversed? At first glance it seems there are two possible answers: the causal relations are reversed, or they are not. I argue that neither of these answers is correct: we should…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-04-15 Porter Williams

Cryptocurrencies are gaining more popularity due to their security, making counterfeits impossible. However, these digital currencies have been criticized for creating a large carbon footprint due to their algorithmic complexity and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Altanai Bisht , Arielle Wilson , Zachary Jeffreys , Shadrokh Samavi

Cryptocurrencies have recently experienced a new wave of price volatility and interest; activity within social media communities relating to cryptocurrencies has increased significantly. There is currently limited documented knowledge of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Ross C. Phillips , Denise Gorse