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Predictive modeling on tabular data is the cornerstone of many real-world applications. Although gradient boosting machines and some recent deep models achieve strong performance on tabular data, they often lack interpretability. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Tommy Xu , Zhitian Zhang , Xiangyu Sun , Lauren Kelly Zung , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Greg Mori

This paper introduces Stochastic Gradient Langevin Boosting (SGLB) - a powerful and efficient machine learning framework that may deal with a wide range of loss functions and has provable generalization guarantees. The method is based on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Aleksei Ustimenko , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

Growth curve models are popular tools for studying the development of a response variable within subjects over time. Heterogeneity between subjects is common in such models, and researchers are typically interested in explaining or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Marjolein Fokkema , Achim Zeileis

Influence estimation analyzes how changes to the training data can lead to different model predictions; this analysis can help us better understand these predictions, the models making those predictions, and the data sets they're trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Jonathan Brophy , Zayd Hammoudeh , Daniel Lowd

Tree-based ensemble methods such as random forests, gradient-boosted trees, and Bayesianadditive regression trees have been successfully used for regression problems in many applicationsand research studies. In this paper, we study ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Alexandre Seiller , Éric Gaussier , Emilie Devijver , Marianne Clausel , Sami Alkhoury

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGM) are very useful in the fields of machine learning and data mining. The crucial limitation of those models,however, is the scalability. The Bayesian Network, which is one of the most common PGMs used in…

Additive regression trees are flexible non-parametric models and popular off-the-shelf tools for real-world non-linear regression. In application domains, such as bioinformatics, where there is also demand for probabilistic predictions with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-17 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Daniel M. Roy , Yee Whye Teh

Inference from tabular data, collections of continuous and categorical variables organized into matrices, is a foundation for modern technology and science. Yet, in contrast to the explosive changes in the rest of AI, the best practice for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Daniel Beaglehole , David Holzmüller , Adityanarayanan Radhakrishnan , Mikhail Belkin

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Konstantinos-Leonidas Bisdoulis

Several methods have been proposed for correcting the elevation bias in digital elevation models (DEMs) for example, linear regression. Nowadays, supervised machine learning enables the modelling of complex relationships between variables,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Chukwuma Okolie , Adedayo Adeleke , Julian Smit , Jon Mills , Iyke Maduako , Caleb Ogbeta

The recently proposed "generalized min-max" (GMM) kernel can be efficiently linearized, with direct applications in large-scale statistical learning and fast near neighbor search. The linearized GMM kernel was extensively compared in with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-10 Ping Li

Needless to say, linear dynamics are pervasive in economic time series, particularly autoregressive ones. While gradient boosting with trees excels at capturing nonlinearities, it is inefficient in small samples when much of the predictive…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

Random Forests have been one of the most popular bagging methods in the past few decades, especially due to their success at handling tabular datasets. They have been extensively studied and compared to boosting models, like XGBoost, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vasiliki Stoumpou

Random forest and deep neural network are two schools of effective classification methods in machine learning. While the random forest is robust irrespective of the data domain, the deep neural network has advantages in handling high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Manqing Dong , Lina Yao , Xianzhi Wang , Boualem Benatallah , Shuai Zhang

Learning general latent-variable probabilistic graphical models is a key theoretical challenge in machine learning and artificial intelligence. All previous methods, including the EM algorithm and the spectral algorithms, face severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Borui Wang , Geoffrey Gordon

An ensemble consists of a set of individually trained classifiers (such as neural networks or decision trees) whose predictions are combined when classifying novel instances. Previous research has shown that an ensemble is often more…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 R. Maclin , D. Opitz

Prediction of protein-ligand (PL) binding affinity remains the key to drug discovery. Popular approaches in recent years involve graph neural networks (GNNs), which are used to learn the topology and geometry of PL complexes. However, GNNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Dmitrii Gavrilev , Nurlybek Amangeldiuly , Sergei Ivanov , Evgeny Burnaev

Nowadays, weather forecasts are commonly generated by ensemble forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models. However, such forecasts are usually miscalibrated and/or biased, thus require statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-13 David Jobst

Gradient boosting methods based on Structured Categorical Decision Trees (SCDT) have been demonstrated to outperform numerical and one-hot-encodings on problems where the categorical variable has a known underlying structure. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-10 Brian Lucena

Vital signs including heart rate, respiratory rate, body temperature and blood pressure, are critical in the clinical decision making process. Effective early prediction of vital signs help to alert medical practitioner ahead of time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-18 Shiyu Liu , Mehul Motani
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