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Related papers: Granger Causality from Quantized Measurements

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Beneficial to advanced computing devices, models with massive parameters are increasingly employed to extract more information to enhance the precision in describing and predicting the patterns of objective systems. This phenomenon is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Liye Jia , Fengyufan Yang , Ka Lok Man , Erick Purwanto , Sheng-Uei Guan , Jeremy Smith , Yutao Yue

Identifying risk spillovers in financial markets is of great importance for assessing systemic risk and portfolio management. Granger causality in tail (or in risk) tests whether past extreme events of a time series help predicting future…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Piero Mazzarisi , Silvia Zaoli , Carlo Campajola , Fabrizio Lillo

We provide a scheme for inferring causal relations from uncontrolled statistical data based on tools from computational algebraic geometry, in particular, the computation of Groebner bases. We focus on causal structures containing just two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-18 Ciarán M. Lee , Robert W. Spekkens

After coarse-graining a complex system, the dynamics of its macro-state may exhibit more pronounced causal effects than those of its micro-state. This phenomenon, known as causal emergence, is quantified by the indicator of effective…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Kaiwei Liu , Bing Yuan , Jiang Zhang

Granger causality, commonly used for inferring causal structures from time series data, has been adopted in widespread applications across various fields due to its intuitive explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Finding the parameters of a latent variable causal model is central to causal inference and causal identification. In this article, we show that existing graphical structures that are used in causal inference are not stable under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Mehrzad Saremi

Understanding the causal interaction of time series variables can contribute to time series data analysis for many real-world applications, such as climate forecasting and extreme weather alerts. However, causal relationships are difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Dongqi Fu , Yada Zhu , Hanghang Tong , Kommy Weldemariam , Onkar Bhardwaj , Jingrui He

We develop an LM test for Granger causality in high-dimensional VAR models based on penalized least squares estimations. To obtain a test retaining the appropriate size after the variable selection done by the lasso, we propose a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-07 Alain Hecq , Luca Margaritella , Stephan Smeekes

Granger causality is a widely-used criterion for analyzing interactions in large-scale networks. As most physical interactions are inherently nonlinear, we consider the problem of inferring the existence of pairwise Granger causality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Saurabh Khanna , Vincent Y. F. Tan

In this paper we present an equivalent form of Granger noncausality in state space representation. As a generalization of this result, necessary and sufficient conditions are provided for an output process to admit a particular minimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-18 M. Jozsa , M. Petreczky , M. K. Camlibel

Identifying ``true causality'' is a fundamental challenge in complex systems research. Widely adopted methods, like the Granger causality test, capture statistical dependencies between variables rather than genuine driver-response…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Yingzhu Liu , Shengyuan Huang , Zhongkui Li , Xiaoguang Yang , Wenjun Mei

The common cause principle for two random variables $A$ and $B$ is examined in the case of causal insufficiency, when their common cause $C$ is known to exist, but only the joint probability of $A$ and $B$ is observed. As a result, $C$…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-26 A. Hovhannisyan , A. E. Allahverdyan

When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

While most classical approaches to Granger causality detection repose upon linear time series assumptions, many interactions in neuroscience and economics applications are nonlinear. We develop an approach to nonlinear Granger causality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Alex Tank , Ian Cover , Nicholas J. Foti , Ali Shojaie , Emily B. Fox

Causality imposes strong restrictions on the type of operators that may be observables in relativistic quantum theories. In fact, causal violations arise when computing conditional probabilities for certain partial causally connected…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Rodolfo Gambini , Rafael A. Porto

We present a sample path dependent measure of causal influence between two time series. The proposed measure is a random variable whose expected sum is the directed information. A realization of the proposed measure may be used to identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-15 Gabriel Schamberg , Todd P. Coleman

Cross-slice attack attribution in 6G networks faces the fundamental challenge of distinguishing genuine causal relationships from spurious correlations in shared infrastructure environments. We propose a theoretically-grounded…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Minh K. Quan , Pubudu N. Pathirana

Determining potential probability distributions with a given causal graph is vital for causality studies. To bypass the difficulty in characterizing latent variables in a Bayesian network, the nested Markov model provides an elegant…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Xingjian Zhang , Yuhao Wang , Elie Wolfe

We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

We probe the foundations of causal structure inference experimentally. The causal structure concerns which events influence other events. We probe whether causal structure can be determined without intervention in quantum systems.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-12 Hongfeng Liu , Xiangjing Liu , Qian Chen , Yixian Qiu , Vlatko Vedral , Xinfang Nie , Oscar Dahlsten , Dawei Lu
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