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We consider a branching random walk initiated by a single particle at location 0 in which particles alternately reproduce according to the law of a Galton-Watson process and disperse according to the law of a driftless random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Steven P. Lalley , Yuan Shao

For a discrete time multitype supercritical Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ and corresponding genealogical tree $\mathbb{T}$, we associate a new discrete time process $(Z_n^{\Phi})_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ such that, for each $n\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Konrad Kolesko , Ecaterina Sava-Huss

In this somewhat didactic note we give a detailed alternative proof of the known result due to Wei and Winnicki (1989) which states that under second order moment assumptions on the offspring and immigration distributions the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány , Gyula Pap

There is a well-known sequence of constants c_n describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Z_n. With 'lower deviation probabilities' we refer to P(Z_n=k_n) with k_n=o(c_n) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

We continue our study of the distribution of the maximal number $X^{\ast}_k$ of offsprings amongst all individuals in a critical Galton-Watson process started with $k$ ancestors, treating the case when the reproduction law has a regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Jean Bertoin

Our principal aim is to observe the Markov discrete-time process of population growth with long-living trajectory. First we study asymptotical decay of generating function of Galton-Watson process for all cases as the Basic Lemma.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Azam A. Imomov

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

A Galton-Watson process in a varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. It is known that in the critical case, these processes have a Yaglom limit, that is, a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Arturo Jaramillo , Sandra Palau

We study survival properties of inhomogeneous Galton-Watson processes. We determine the so-called branching number (which is the reciprocal of the critical value for percolation) for these random trees (conditioned on being infinite), which…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Erik Broman , Ronald Meester

This paper is concerned with an extended Galton-Watson process so as to allow individuals to live and reproduce for more than one unit time. We assume that each individual can live $k$ seasons (time-units) with probability $h_k$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 J. R. Tan , J. P. Li

We study the evolution of a particle system whose genealogy is given by a supercritical continuous time Galton--Watson tree. The particles move independently according to a Markov process and when a branching event occurs, the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Vincent Bansaye , Jean-François Delmas , Laurence Marsalle , Viet Chi Tran

We consider the genealogical tree of a stationary continuous state branching process with immigration. For a sub-critical stable branching mechanism, we consider the genealogical tree of the extant population at some fixed time and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hui He

The key to our investigation is an improved (and in a sense sharp) understanding of the survival time of the contact process on star graphs. Using these results, we show that for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Xiangying Huang , Rick Durrett

We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We consider a supercritical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration. It is well known that under suitable conditions on the offspring and immigration distributions, there is a finite, strictly positive limit ${\mathcal{W}}$ for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Weijuan Chu , Wenbo V. Li , Yan-Xia Ren

In this paper, we consider a critical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration stopped at zero $\mathbf{W}$. Some precise estimation on the generation function of the $n$-th population are obtained, and the tail probability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Doudou Li , Mei Zhang , Xianyu Zhang

We prove a general fluctuation limit theorem for Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration. The limit is a time-inhomogeneous OU type process driven by a spectrally positive Levy process. As applications of this result, we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-12 Chunhua Ma

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

A Galton-Watson branching process with immigration evolving in a random environment is considered. Its associated random walk is assumed to be oscillating. We prove a functional limit theorem in which the process under consideration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 V. I. Afanasyev

The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras